Climate policy/References

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Key publications

Den Elzen et al., 2008
M. G. J. Den Elzen, P. L. Lucas, D. P. Van Vuuren (2008). Regional abatement action and costs under allocation schemes for emission allowances for achieving low CO2-equivalent concentrations. Climatic Change, 90(3), pp. 243-268, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-008-9466-1.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2008/Regional-abatement-action-and-costs-under-allocation-schemes-for-emission-allowances-for-achieving-low-CO2.

Den Elzen et al., 2011a
M. G. J. Den Elzen, A. F. Hof, A. Mendoza Beltran, G. Grassi, M. Roelfsema, B. van Ruijven, J. van Vliet, D. P. van Vuuren (2011). The Copenhagen Accord: Abatement costs and carbon prices resulting from the submissions. Environmental Science and Policy, 14(1), pp. 28-39, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2010.10.010.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2011/The-Copenhagen-Accord-abatement-costs-and-carbon-prices-resulting-from-the-submissions.

Hof et al., 2009
A. F. Hof, K. C. de Bruin, R. B. Dellink, M. G. J. den Elzen, D. P. van Vuuren (2009). The effect of different mitigation strategies on international financing of adaptation. Environmental Science and Policy, 12(7), pp. 832-843, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2009.08.007.

Van Vliet et al., 2009
J. van Vliet, M. G. J. den Elzen, D. P. van Vuuren (2009). Meeting radiative forcing targets under delayed participation. Energy Economics, 31(SUPPL. 2), pp. 152-162, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2009.06.010.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2009/Meeting-radiative-forcing-targets-under-delayed-participation.

All cited references

Admiraal et al., 2016
A. K. Admiraal, A. F. Hof, M. G. J. den Elzen, D. P. van Vuuren (2016). Costs and benefits of differences in the timing of greenhouse gas emission reductions. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 21(8), pp. 1165-1179, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11027-015-9641-4.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/costs-and-benefits-of-differences-in-the-timing-of-greenhouse-gas-emission-reductions.

De Bruin et al., 2009
K. C. de Bruin, R. B. Dellink, R. S. J. Tol (2009). AD-DICE: An implementation of adaptation in the DICE model. Climatic Change, 95(1-2), pp. 63-81, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-008-9535-5.

Den Elzen and Höhne, 2010
M.G.J den Elzen, N. Höhne (2010). Sharing the reduction effort to limit global warming to 2°C. Climate Policy, 10, pp. 247-260.

Den Elzen and van Vuuren, 2007
M.G.J. den Elzen, D.P. van Vuuren (2007). Peaking profiles for achieving long-term temperature targets with more likelihood at lower costs. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 104(46), pp. 17931-17936, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0701598104.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2007/Peakingprofilesforachievingtemperaturetargets.

Den Elzen et al., 2007
M. den Elzen, M. Meinshausen, D. van Vuuren (2007). Multi-gas emission envelopes to meet greenhouse gas concentration targets: Costs versus certainty of limiting temperature increase. Global Environmental Change, 17(2), pp. 260-280, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.10.003.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2007/Multi-gasemissionenvelopestomeetgreenhousegasconcentrationtargets_Costsversuscertaintyoflimitingtemperature.

Den Elzen et al., 2008
M. G. J. Den Elzen, P. L. Lucas, D. P. Van Vuuren (2008). Regional abatement action and costs under allocation schemes for emission allowances for achieving low CO2-equivalent concentrations. Climatic Change, 90(3), pp. 243-268, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-008-9466-1.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2008/Regional-abatement-action-and-costs-under-allocation-schemes-for-emission-allowances-for-achieving-low-CO2.

Den Elzen et al., 2011a
M. G. J. Den Elzen, A. F. Hof, A. Mendoza Beltran, G. Grassi, M. Roelfsema, B. van Ruijven, J. van Vliet, D. P. van Vuuren (2011). The Copenhagen Accord: Abatement costs and carbon prices resulting from the submissions. Environmental Science and Policy, 14(1), pp. 28-39, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2010.10.010.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2011/The-Copenhagen-Accord-abatement-costs-and-carbon-prices-resulting-from-the-submissions.

Den Elzen et al., 2011b
M. G. J. den Elzen, A. F. Hof, M. Roelfsema (2011). . Global Environmental Change, 21(2), pp. 733-743, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.01.006.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2011/the-emissions-gap-between-the-copenhagen-pledges-and-the-2-%C2%B0c-climate-goal-options-for-closing-and-risks-that-.

Den Elzen et al., 2012a
M.G.J. den Elzen, A. Hof, A. Mendoza Beltrán, B. Van Ruijven, J. Van Vliet (2012). Implications of long-term global and developed country reduction targets for developing countries. Mitigation and Adaptation of Strategies for Global Change, 18(4), pp. 491-512.

Den Elzen et al., 2012b
M. G. J. den Elzen, M. Meinshausen, A. F. Hof (2012). . Climatic Change, 114(2), pp. 401-408, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0530-5.

Den Elzen et al., 2012c
M.G.J. den Elzen, M. Roelfsema, A.F. Hof, H. Böttcher, G. Grassi (2012). Analysing the emission gap between pledged emission reductions under the Cancún Agreements and the 2°C climate target, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, the Netherlands. Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publicaties/2012/analysing-the-emission-gap-between-pledged-emission-reductions-under-the-cancun-agreements.

Den Elzen et al., 2013
M. G. J. Den Elzen, A. F. Hof, M. Roelfsema (2013). Analysing the greenhouse gas emission reductions of the mitigation action plans by non-Annex I countries by 2020. Energy Policy, 56(56), pp. 633-643, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2013.01.035.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/analysing-the-greenhouse-gas-emission-reductions-of-the-mitigation-action-plans-by-non-annex-i-countries-by-2020.

Den Elzen et al., 2015a
den Elzen, M.G.J., Fekete, H., Admiraal, A., Forsell, N., Höhne, N., Korosuo, A., Roelfsema, M., van Soest, H., Wouters, K., Day, T., Hagemann, M., Hof, A.F (2015). Enhanced policy scenarios for major emitting countries. Analysis of current and planned climate policies, and selected enhanced mitigation measure. Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/sites/default/files/cms/publicaties/pbl-2015-enhanced-policy-scenarios-for-major-emitting-countries_1631.pdf.

Den Elzen et al., 2016
M. den Elzen, A. Admiraal, M. Roelfsema, H. van Soest, A. F. Hof, N. Forsell (2016). Contribution of the G20 economies to the global impact of the Paris agreement climate proposals. Climatic Change, 137(3-4), pp. 655-665, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1700-7.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/contribution-of-the-g20-economies-to-the-global-impact-of-the-paris-agreement-climate-proposals.

Enerdata, 2010
Enerdata (2010). Energy databases, Grenoble(URL: http://www.enerdata.net/enerdatauk/subscriptions/marginal-abatement-cost-curves-MACCs.php).

European Commission, 2010
European Commission (2010). Analysis of options to move beyond 20% greenhouse gas emission reductions and assessing the risk of carbon leakage.Brussels.Access date: 2010.URL: http://ec.europa.eu/environment/climat/future_action.htm.

Harmsen et al. (2016)
Mathijs Harmsen, Maarten van den Berg, Volker Krey, Gunnar Luderer, Adriana Marcucci, Jessica Strefler, Detlef van Vuuren (2016). How climate metrics affect global mitigation strategies and costs: a multi-model study. Climatic Change, 136(2), pp. pp 203-216, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1603-7.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/how-climate-metrics-affect-global-mitigation-strategies-and-costs-a-multi-model-study.

Hof et al., 2008
A. F. Hof, M. G. J. den Elzen, D. P. van Vuuren (2008). Analysing the costs and benefits of climate policy: Value judgements and scientific uncertainties. Global Environmental Change, 18(3), pp. 412-424, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.04.004.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2008/Analysing-the-costs-and-benefits-of-climate-policy_-Value-judgements-and-scientific-uncertainties.

Hof et al., 2009
A. F. Hof, K. C. de Bruin, R. B. Dellink, M. G. J. den Elzen, D. P. van Vuuren (2009). The effect of different mitigation strategies on international financing of adaptation. Environmental Science and Policy, 12(7), pp. 832-843, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2009.08.007.

Hof et al., 2010
A. F. Hof, M. G. J. den Elzen, D. P. van Vuuren (2010). Including adaptation costs and climate change damages in evaluating post-2012 burden-sharing regimes. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 15(1), pp. 19-40, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11027-009-9201-x.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2010/Including-adaptation-costs-and-climate-change-damages-in-evaluating-post-2012-burden-sharing-regimes.

Hof et al., 2011
A. F. Hof, M. G. J. den Elzen, A. Mendoza Beltran (2011). Predictability, equitability and adequacy of post-2012 international climate financing proposals. Environmental Science and Policy, 14(6), pp. 615-627, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2011.05.006.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2011/predictability-equitability-and-adequacy-of-post-2012-international-climate-financing-proposals.

Hof et al., 2012
A.F. Hof, C. Brink, A. Mendoza Beltrán, M.G.J. den Elzen (2012). Greenhouse gas emission reduction targets for 2030: Conditions for a EU target of 40%, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, the Netherlands(URL: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2012/greenhouse-gas-emission-reduction-targets-for-2030).

Hof et al., 2013
A. F. Hof, M. G. J. den Elzen, M. Roelfsema (2013). The effect of updated pledges and business-as-usual projections, and new agreed rules on expected global greenhouse gas emissions in 2020. Environmental Science and Policy, 33, pp. 308-319, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2013.06.007.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/the-effect-of-updated-pledges-and-business-as-usual-projections-and-new-agreed-rules-on-expected-global-ghg.

Hof et al., 2016
A. F. Hof, M. G. J. den Elzen, A. Mendoza Beltran (2016). . International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, 16(3), pp. 375-392, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10784-016-9317-x.

Höhne et al., 2012
N. Höhne, N. Braun, H. Fekete, R. Brandsma, J. Larkin, M.G.J. den Elzen, M. Roelfsema, A.F. Hof, H. Böttcher (2012). Greenhouse gas emission reduction proposals and national climate policies of major economies, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.

Kindermann et al., 2008
G. Kindermann, M. Obersteiner, B. Sohngen, J. Sathaye, K. Andrasko, E. Rametsteiner, B. Schlamadinger, S. Wunder, R. Beach (2008). Global cost estimates of reducing carbon emissions through avoided deforestation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 105(30), pp. 10302-10307, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0710616105.

Kuramochi et al., 2016
Kuramochi, T., Höhne, N., Sterl, S., Gonzales-Zuñiga, S., Hans, F., Hagemann, M., Hernandez Legaria, E., den Elzen, M.G.J., Roelfsema, M., van Soest, H., Forsell, N., Turkovska, O. (2016). Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries: Analysis of current and planned climate policies, and mitigation pledges. Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/greenhouse-gas-mitigation-scenarios-for-major-emitting-countries.

Meinshausen et al., 2011b
M. Meinshausen, T. M. L. Wigley, S. C. B. Raper (2011). Emulating atmosphere-ocean and carbon cycle models with a simpler model, MAGICC6 - Part 2: Applications. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11(4), pp. 1457-1471.

Mendoza Beltrán et al., 2011
A. Mendoza Beltrán, M. G. J. den Elzen, A. F. Hof, D. P. van Vuuren, J. van Vliet (2011). Exploring the bargaining space within international climate negotiations based on political, economic and environmental considerations. Energy Policy, 39(11), pp. 7361-7371, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.08.065.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2011/exploring-the-bargaining-space-within-international-climate-negotiations.

Roelfsema et al., 2013
M. Roelfsema, M.G.J. den Elzen, A.F. Hof, N. Höhne, N. Braun, H. Fekete, R. Brandsma, J. Larkin, H. Böttcher (2013). Methodology for analysing greenhouse gas emission reduction proposals and national climate policies of major economies, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, the Netherlands. Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/sites/default/files/cms/publicaties/pbl-2013-methodology-policy-brief-analysis-of-domestic-climate-policies.pdf.

Roelfsema et al., 2014
M. Roelfsema, M. D. Elzen, N. Höhne, A. F. Hof, N. Braun, H. Fekete, H. Böttcher, R. Brandsma, J. Larkin (2014). Are major economies on track to achieve their pledges for 2020? An assessment of domestic climate and energy policies. Energy Policy, 67, pp. 781-796, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2013.11.055.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/are-major-economies-on-track-to-achieve-their-pledges-for-2020.

Rogelj et al., 2016
Rogelj, J., den Elzen, M., Höhne, N., Fransen, T., Fekete, H., Winkler, H., Schaeffer, R., Sha, F., Riahi, K., Meinshausen, M. (2016). Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2 °C. Nature, 534, pp. 631-639, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature18307.

UNEP (2016)
UNEP, PBL contribution M.G.J. den Elzen, J.G.J Olivier, M.R. Roelfsema (2016). The Emissions Gap Report 2016. United Nations Environment, UNEP, UNEP, Nairobi. Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2016.

UNEP, 2012
UNEP (2012). The Emissions Gap Report 2012. A UNEP Synthesis Report, United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP).

UNFCCC (2015b)
(2015). Paris Agreement. Decision 1/CP.17.UNFCCC document FCCC/CP/2015/L.9/Rev.1.Access date: December 2015.URL: http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2015/cop21/eng/l09r01.pdf

Van Vliet et al., 2009
J. van Vliet, M. G. J. den Elzen, D. P. van Vuuren (2009). Meeting radiative forcing targets under delayed participation. Energy Economics, 31(SUPPL. 2), pp. 152-162, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2009.06.010.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2009/Meeting-radiative-forcing-targets-under-delayed-participation.

Van Vliet et al., 2012
J. van Vliet, M. van den Berg, M. Schaeffer, D. P. van Vuuren, M. den Elzen, A. F. Hof, A. M. Beltran, M. Meinshausen (2012). . Climatic Change, 113(2), pp. 551-561, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0458-9.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2012/copenhagen-accord-pledges-imply-higher-costs-for-staying-below-2-degree-celsius-warming.

Van Vuuren et al., 2011a
D. P. van Vuuren, E. Stehfest, M. G. J. den Elzen, T. Kram, J. van Vliet, S. Deetman, M. Isaac, K. K. Goldewijk, A. Hof, A. M. Beltran, R. Oostenrijk, B. van Ruijven (2011). . Climatic Change, 109(1), pp. 95-116, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0152-3.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2011/rcp26-exploring-the-possibility-to-keep-global-mean-temperature-increase-below-2%C2%B0c.

Van Vuuren et al., 2012
D. P. Van Vuuren, K. Riahi, R. Moss, J. Edmonds, A. Thomson, N. Nakicenovic, T. Kram, F. Berkhout, R. Swart, A. Janetos, S. K. Rose, N. Arnell (2012). A proposal for a new scenario framework to support research and assessment in different climate research communities. Global Environmental Change, 22(1), pp. 21-35, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.08.002.
Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/2011/proposal-new-scenario-framework-support-research-and-assessment-in-different-climate-research-communities.

Van den Berg et al., 2015
Maarten van den Berg, Andries Hof, Jasper van Vliet, Detlef van Vuuren (2015). Impact of the choice of emission metric on greenhouse gas abatement and costs. Environmental Research Letters, 10(2).
Link to PBL-website: http://pblweb10.prolocation.net/en/publications/impact-of-the-choice-of-emission-metric-on-greenhouse-gas-abatement-and-costs.