Energy conversion/Policy issues: Difference between revisions
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{{ComponentSubPolicyTemplate | {{ComponentSubPolicyTemplate | ||
|Reference=Kruyt et al., 2009 | |Reference=Kruyt et al., 2009 | ||
|Status=Publishable | |||
|Description=<h2>Baseline development</h2> | |Description=<h2>Baseline development</h2> | ||
<gallery> | <gallery> | ||
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|Example=The model analysis in general shows that a high proportion of the emission reductions would come from supply side changes. Figure 3.1.2.3 shows the capacity for different supply side options in the baseline and various pathways consistent with the 2oC target. Although the share of unabated fossil-fuel use is still 80% of total primary energy under the baseline scenario (see above), this would need to be around 15-20% by 2050 in 2oC scenarios. The results show that pathways can be identified in which the remaining energy comes from bio-energy, other renewables, nuclear energy, and fossil-fuel energy combined with CCS. There is a flexibility in the choice of these options as illustrated here by the Decentralised Solutions and Global Technology pathways with very different patterns for nuclear power and renewables. In the IMAGE model, however, in nearly all scenarios the combination of bio-energy with CCS (and CCS in general) plays a critical role in reaching the 2oC target. | |Example=The model analysis in general shows that a high proportion of the emission reductions would come from supply side changes. Figure 3.1.2.3 shows the capacity for different supply side options in the baseline and various pathways consistent with the 2oC target. Although the share of unabated fossil-fuel use is still 80% of total primary energy under the baseline scenario (see above), this would need to be around 15-20% by 2050 in 2oC scenarios. The results show that pathways can be identified in which the remaining energy comes from bio-energy, other renewables, nuclear energy, and fossil-fuel energy combined with CCS. There is a flexibility in the choice of these options as illustrated here by the Decentralised Solutions and Global Technology pathways with very different patterns for nuclear power and renewables. In the IMAGE model, however, in nearly all scenarios the combination of bio-energy with CCS (and CCS in general) plays a critical role in reaching the 2oC target. | ||
[[File:ElectricCapacityComparison.png |border|400px|left|alt=Electric capacity comparison |Electric capacity comparison]] | [[File:ElectricCapacityComparison.png |border|400px|left|alt=Electric capacity comparison |Electric capacity comparison]] | ||
|alt=H2 production Capacity in the baseline | |alt=H2 production Capacity in the baseline | ||
|H2 production Capacity in the baseline | |H2 production Capacity in the baseline | ||