Difference between revisions of "Energy supply and demand"

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|IMAGEComponent=Energy demand; Energy supply; Energy conversion;
 
|IMAGEComponent=Energy demand; Energy supply; Energy conversion;
 
|ExternalModel=POLES model
 
|ExternalModel=POLES model
|KeyReference=Van Vuuren, 2007; De Vries et al., 2001;  
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|KeyReference=Van Vuuren, 2007; De Vries et al., 2001;
 
|Reference=De Vries et al., 2001; Van Vuuren, 2007; Criqui et al., 2003; Thomson et al. 2011;
 
|Reference=De Vries et al., 2001; Van Vuuren, 2007; Criqui et al., 2003; Thomson et al. 2011;
|Description=Energy consumption and production constitutes a central component in discussions on sustainable development. First of all, without the use of energy most human activities are impossible. Hence, securing a reliable and affordable supply of fit-for-purpose energy is an important element of countries' economic and energy policies. Fossil-fuel resources currently account for more than three quarters of the world's energy use. However, over time, depletion is expected to lead to rising costs for fossil fuels (at least for oil), while the fossil fuels resources that remain easily accessible will be concentrated in a decreasing number of countries. Finally, the combustion of fossil fuels and traditional forms of bio-energy is the single most important cause of local and regional air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions. The future of the global energy system is highly uncertain and depends on factors such as technological innovations and breakthroughs, socio-economic developments, resource availability and societal choices. Exploring different scenarios for developments around the use and supply of energy in the future provides information to decision-makers, on which strategic policy decisions can be based.  
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|Description={{DisplayFigureTemplate|flowcart ESD}}
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Energy consumption and production constitutes a central component in discussions on sustainable development. First of all, without the use of energy most human activities are impossible. Hence, securing a reliable and affordable supply of fit-for-purpose energy is an important element of countries' economic and energy policies. Fossil-fuel resources currently account for more than three quarters of the world's energy use. However, over time, depletion is expected to lead to rising costs for fossil fuels (at least for oil), while the fossil fuels resources that remain easily accessible will be concentrated in a decreasing number of countries. Finally, the combustion of fossil fuels and traditional forms of bio-energy is the single most important cause of local and regional air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions. The future of the global energy system is highly uncertain and depends on factors such as technological innovations and breakthroughs, socio-economic developments, resource availability and societal choices. Exploring different scenarios for developments around the use and supply of energy in the future provides information to decision-makers, on which strategic policy decisions can be based.  
  
 
==The energy supply and demand model (TIMER)==
 
==The energy supply and demand model (TIMER)==
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==Data, uncertainties and limitations==
 
==Data, uncertainties and limitations==
 
The energy supply and demand model (TIMER) is a simulation, energy system model that focuses on long-term trends in energy supply and demand. It has been mainly developed in the context of analysing climate mitigation strategies – although it has been used to explore other sustainability issues, as well. These characteristics also impose some limitations on the model. First of all, the model cannot be used to look into macroeconomic consequences of mitigation strategies (such as [[GDP]] losses), as it simply does not include a description of parts of the economy other than energy. Second, the strategies depicted by the model are not necessarily optimal from an intertemporal perspective, as a simulation model has no information on future development in a scenario (myopic); instead, decisions are made on the basis of available model information at that moment in the scenario. Finally, although the model has been used to look into sustainability issues other than climate change, at the moment, some of the options for target setting (e.g. with the climate policy model – see [[Impacts]]) have not been fully developed.
 
The energy supply and demand model (TIMER) is a simulation, energy system model that focuses on long-term trends in energy supply and demand. It has been mainly developed in the context of analysing climate mitigation strategies – although it has been used to explore other sustainability issues, as well. These characteristics also impose some limitations on the model. First of all, the model cannot be used to look into macroeconomic consequences of mitigation strategies (such as [[GDP]] losses), as it simply does not include a description of parts of the economy other than energy. Second, the strategies depicted by the model are not necessarily optimal from an intertemporal perspective, as a simulation model has no information on future development in a scenario (myopic); instead, decisions are made on the basis of available model information at that moment in the scenario. Finally, although the model has been used to look into sustainability issues other than climate change, at the moment, some of the options for target setting (e.g. with the climate policy model – see [[Impacts]]) have not been fully developed.
 
 
|AggregatedComponent=Energy supply and demand
 
|AggregatedComponent=Energy supply and demand
 
|FrameworkElementType=pressure component
 
|FrameworkElementType=pressure component
 
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}}
 
[[Page has default form::AggregatedComponentForm| ]]
 
[[Page has default form::AggregatedComponentForm| ]]

Revision as of 15:51, 12 December 2013

Composition of Energy supply and demand

  1. Energy conversion
  2. Energy demand
  3. Energy supply

Additional info

  • Technical learning
  • Link to framework components overview
    Component is implemented in:
    Aggregated component:Components:
    Projects/Applications
    Models/Databases
    Key publications
    References
    TIMER, the energy demand and supply model in IMAGE 3.0
    Flowchart Energy supply and demand. Overview of the IMAGE/TIMER model

    Description of Energy supply and demand