Energy supply and demand: Difference between revisions

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|ExternalModel=POLES model
|ExternalModel=POLES model
|KeyReference=Van Vuuren, 2007; De Vries et al., 2001;
|KeyReference=Van Vuuren, 2007; De Vries et al., 2001;
|Reference=De Vries et al., 2001; a Van Vuuren, 2007; Criqui et al., 2003; Thomson et al., 2011;  
|Reference=De Vries et al., 2001; a Van Vuuren, 2007; Criqui et al., 2003; Thomson et al., 2011;
|InputVar=GDP per capita; Sector value added; Private consumption; Population; Technology development of energy conversion; Technology development of energy supply; Lifestyle parameters; Carbon price; Energy resources; Land supply for bioenergy - grid;
|InputVar=GDP per capita; Sector value added; Private consumption; Population; Technology development of energy conversion; Technology development of energy supply; Lifestyle parameters; Carbon price; Energy resources; Land supply for bioenergy - grid;
|Parameter=Conversion assumptions; Taxes and other additional costs;
|Parameter=Conversion assumptions; Taxes and other additional costs;
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{{InputOutputParameterTemplate}}
{{InputOutputParameterTemplate}}
==The energy supply and demand model (TIMER)==
==The energy supply and demand model (TIMER)==
The IMage Energy Regional model (also referred to as ([[TIMER model|TIMER]]) is an energy model that has been developed to explore different scenarios for the energy system in the broader context of the IMAGE global environmental assessment framework ([[De Vries et al., 2001]]; [[Van Vuuren, 2007]]). TIMER is an energy system simulation model, describing the demand and supply of 12 different primary energy carriers in 26 world regions. Its main objective is to analyse the long-term trends in energy demand and supply, in the context of the sustainable development challenges described in the first paragraph . For this purpose, the model simulates long-term trends in energy use, issues related to depletion, energy-related greenhouse gas and other air polluting emissions, along with land-use demand for energy crops. The focus is on dynamic relationships within the energy system, such as inertia and learning-by-doing in capital stocks, depletion of the resource base and trade among the different regions. Similar most other parts of IMAGE, TIMER also is a simulation model. Its results depend on a single set of deterministic algorithms according to which the system state in any future year is derived entirely from previous system states. This differs from most macroeconomic models, which let the system evolve on the basis of a minimisation (of cost) or a maximisation (of utility) under boundary conditions. As such, TIMER can be compared to energy simulation models such as POLES ([[Criqui et al., 2003]]) and GCAM ([[Thomson et al., 2011]]). First, the energy supply and demand model is briefly introduced, followed by discussions on the different parts of the model in more detail, in subsequent sections.
The IMage Energy Regional model, also referred to as [[TIMER model|TIMER]], has been developed to explore scenarios for the energy system in the broader context of the IMAGE global environmental assessment framework ([[De Vries et al., 2001]]; [[Van Vuuren, 2007]]). TIMER describes 12 primary energy carriers in 26 world regions and is used to analyse long-term trends in energy demand and supply in the context of the sustainable development challenges<ref>The words energy demand and energy use are often used interchangeably. However, in the past data were about statistical energy use. For the future, trends were extrapolated and denoted as energy demand, which in the model is assumed to be fully supplied and thus equal to use.</ref>. The model simulates long-term trends in energy use, issues related to depletion, energy-related greenhouse gas and other air polluting emissions, together with land-use demand for energy crops. The focus is on dynamic relationships in the energy system, such as inertia and learning-by-doing in capital stocks, depletion of the resource base and trade between regions.  
Similar to other IMAGE components, TIMER is a simulation model. The results obtained depend on a single set of deterministic algorithms, according to which the system state in any future year is derived entirely from previous system states. In this respect, TIMER differs from most macroeconomic models, which let the system evolve on the basis of minimising cost or maximising utility under boundary conditions. As such, TIMER can be compared to energy simulation models, such as POLES ([[Criqui et al., 2003]]) and GCAM ([[Thomson et al., 2011]]).
 
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==Model description==
==Model description==

Revision as of 11:05, 5 May 2014

Composition of Energy supply and demand

  1. Energy conversion
  2. Energy demand
  3. Energy supply

Additional info

  • Technical learning
  • Link to framework components overview
    Component is implemented in:
    Aggregated component:Components:
    Projects/Applications
    Models/Databases
    Key publications
    References
    TIMER, the energy demand and supply model in IMAGE 3.0
    Flowchart Energy supply and demand. Overview of the IMAGE/TIMER model

    Description of Energy supply and demand