Difference between revisions of "Flood risks"

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Bierkens and Van Beek, 2009;
 
Bierkens and Van Beek, 2009;
 
Hinkel and Klein, 2009;
 
Hinkel and Klein, 2009;
|InputVar=Land cover, land use - grid; Population - grid; GDP per capita - grid; Land cover, land use - grid;
+
|InputVar=Land cover, land use - grid; Population - grid; GDP per capita - grid; Land cover, land use - grid;
 +
|OutputVar=Expected nr of affected people - grid; Expected value of affected GDP - grid; Statistics of flooded depth - grid; Statistics of flooded fraction - grid; Statistics of river discharge - grid;
 
|Parameter=Topography - grid; Coastal storm surges; Flood statistics - grid; Historical climate dataset - grid;
 
|Parameter=Topography - grid; Coastal storm surges; Flood statistics - grid; Historical climate dataset - grid;
|OutputVar=Expected nr annual exposed people - grid; Expected value of annual exposed GDP - grid; Statistics of flooded depth - grid; Statistics of flooded fraction - grid; Statistics of river discharge - grid;
 
 
|Description=Flooding is the most frequent and costly natural hazard, affecting a majority of countries on a regular basis ([[UNISDR, 2011]]) ([[IPCC, 2012]]). Over the past few decades, the economic damage as a result of flooding has increased in most regions, primarily due to a growth in population and wealth in flood-prone areas ([[Bouwer et al., 2010]]; [[UNISDR, 2011]]; [[Barredo et al., 2012]]).  
 
|Description=Flooding is the most frequent and costly natural hazard, affecting a majority of countries on a regular basis ([[UNISDR, 2011]]) ([[IPCC, 2012]]). Over the past few decades, the economic damage as a result of flooding has increased in most regions, primarily due to a growth in population and wealth in flood-prone areas ([[Bouwer et al., 2010]]; [[UNISDR, 2011]]; [[Barredo et al., 2012]]).  
 
The largest changes in economic loss and mortality from flooding are observed in developing countries, although data scarcities are hampering flood risk assessments. In order to evaluate current flood risk as well as possible changes under global change scenarios, there is a demand for rapid cost-effective assessments based on available global data sets. Such assessments are of interest to various users, for example:
 
The largest changes in economic loss and mortality from flooding are observed in developing countries, although data scarcities are hampering flood risk assessments. In order to evaluate current flood risk as well as possible changes under global change scenarios, there is a demand for rapid cost-effective assessments based on available global data sets. Such assessments are of interest to various users, for example:

Revision as of 14:37, 3 March 2014

GLOFRIS, the flood risk model in IMAGE 3.0
Flowchart Flood risks. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.

Key policy issues

  • How will future flood risk change as a result of socio-economic changes and climate change?
  • What would be the impact of floods, in terms of damage and victims, and where are the hot spots?
  • What would be suitable adaptation strategies and investment options related to flood risk?

Introduction