Nutrients/Data uncertainties limitations: Difference between revisions

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However, uncertainty is larger for some budget terms than for others. Data on fertiliser use are more reliable than on N and P animal excretions, which are calculated from livestock data ([[FAO, 2012b]]) and excretion rates per animal category. Data on crop nutrient withdrawal are less certain than on crop production, because the withdrawal is calculated with fixed global nutrient contents of the harvested proportions of marketed crops. In addition to uncertainty in nutrient contents, major uncertainties arise from insufficient data, for instance, on crops that are not marketed and on the use of crop residues. This leads to major uncertainties about nutrient withdrawal.
However, uncertainty is larger for some budget terms than for others. Data on fertiliser use are more reliable than on N and P animal excretions, which are calculated from livestock data ([[FAO, 2012b]]) and excretion rates per animal category. Data on crop nutrient withdrawal are less certain than on crop production, because the withdrawal is calculated with fixed global nutrient contents of the harvested proportions of marketed crops. In addition to uncertainty in nutrient contents, major uncertainties arise from insufficient data, for instance, on crops that are not marketed and on the use of crop residues. This leads to major uncertainties about nutrient withdrawal.


Sensitivity analysis ([[Beusen et al., 2008]]) has shown that the main determinants of the uncertainty in the nutrient model are:
Sensitivity analysis ([[Beusen et al., 2015]]) of global nutriënt transport model with data for the year 2000 showed that:
* N excretion rates;
* runoff is a major factor for N and P delivery, retention and river export.
* NH<sub>3</sub> emission rates from manure in animal housing and storage systems;
* Uptake velocity and all factors used to compute the subgrid in-stream retention are important for total in-stream retention and river export of both N and P
* the proportion of time that ruminants graze;
* Soil N budgets, wastewater and all factors determining litterfall in floodplains are important for N delivery to surface water.
* the proportion of non-agricultural use of manure in mixed and industrial systems;
* For P the factors that determine the P content of the soil (soil P content and bulk density) are important factors for P delivery and river export.
* animal stocks.
 
Sensitivities for the years 1900 and 1950 ([[Beusen et al;., 2016]]) show that inputs from vegetation in floodplains (for N and P) and weathering (for P) are important in the first half of the 20th century, when human activites were not yet overshadowing natural sources of nutrients.
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Revision as of 14:48, 2 November 2016