Variable overview

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Drivers

VariableModel driver groupUsed_inDescription
GDP per capitaEconomic developmentEnergy supply and demand
Agricultural economy
Climate policy
Emissions
Energy demand
Human development
Gross Domestic Product per capita, measured as the market value of all goods and services produced in a region in a year, and is used in the IMAGE framework as a generic indicator of economic activity.
Labour supplyEconomic developmentAgricultural economyEffective supply of labour input to support economic activities, taking into account the participation rate of age cohorts.
Capital supplyEconomic developmentAgricultural economyCapital available to replace depreciated stock and expand the stock to support economic growth.
GDP per capita - gridEconomic developmentEcosystem services
Nutrients
Flood risks
Scaled down GDP per capita from country to grid level, based on population density.
Private consumptionEconomic developmentEnergy supply and demand
Energy demand
Private consumption reflects expenditure on private household consumption. It is used in IMAGE as a driver of energy.
GINI coefficientEconomic developmentHuman developmentMeasure of income disparity in a population. If all have the same income, GINI equals 1. The lower the GINI, the wider the gap between the lowest and highest income groups.
Timber demandEconomic developmentForest managementDemand for roundwood and pulpwood per region.
Sector value addedEconomic developmentEnergy supply and demand
Energy demand
Value Added for economic sectors: Industry (IVA), Services (SVA) and Agriculture (AVA). These variables are used in IMAGE to indicate economic activity.
Built-up area - gridEnergy and land resourcesLand cover and land useUrban built-up area per grid cell, excluded from all biophysical modelling in IMAGE, increasing over time as a function of urban population and a country- and scenario-specific urban density curve.
Energy resourcesEnergy and land resourcesEnergy supply and demand
Energy supply
Volume of energy resource per carrier, region and supply cost class (determines depletion dynamics).
Taxes and other additional costsEnvironmental and other policiesEnergy demandTaxes on energy use, and other additional costs
Adaptation levelEnvironmental and other policiesClimate policyLevel of adaptation to climate change , defined as the share of climate change damage avoided by adaptation. This level is be calculated by the model to minimise adaptation costs and residual damage, or set by the user.
Energy policyEnvironmental and other policiesEnergy conversionPolicy to achieve energy system objectives, such as energy security and energy access.
Climate targetEnvironmental and other policiesClimate policyClimate target, defined in terms of concentration levels, radiative forcing, temperature targets, or cumulative emissions.
Protected area - gridEnvironmental and other policiesLand-use allocation
Land cover and land use
Terrestrial biodiversity
Ecosystem services
Map of protected nature areas, limiting use of this area.
Equity principlesEnvironmental and other policiesClimate policyGeneral concepts of distributive justice or fairness used in effort sharing approaches. Three key equity principles are: Responsibility (historical contribution to warming); capability (ability to pay for mitigation); and equality (equal emissions allowances per capita).
Domestic climate policyEnvironmental and other policiesClimate policyPlanned and/or implemented national climate and energy policies, such as taxes, feed-in tariffs, renewable targets, efficiency standards, that affect projected emission reduction.
Air pollution policyEnvironmental and other policiesEnergy conversionAir pollution policies set to reach emission reduction targets, represented in the model in the form of energy carrier and sector specific emission factors.
Biofuel policyEnvironmental and other policiesAgricultural economyPolicies to foster the use of biofuels in transport, such as financial incentives and biofuel mandates and obligations.
Lifestyle parametersLifestyle parametersEnergy supply and demand
Energy demand
Lifestyle parameters influence the relationship between economic activities and demand for energy.
PreferencesLifestyle parametersEnergy demandNon-price factors determining market shares, such as preferences, environmental policies, infrastructure and strategic considerations, used for model calibration.
Urban population fractionPopulation projectionsHuman developmentUrban/rural split of population.
Population - gridPopulation projectionsLand-use allocation
Nutrients
Human development
Flood risks
Number of people per gridcell (using downscaling).
PopulationPopulation projectionsEnergy supply and demand
Agricultural economy
Climate policy
Energy demand
Number of people per region.
Technological change (crops and livestocks)Technological change in agriculture and forestryAgricultural economyIncrease in productivity in crop production (yield/ha) and livestock production (carcass weight, offtake rate).
Feed conversionTechnological change in agriculture and forestryLivestock systemsMeasure of an animal's efficiency in converting feed mass into the desired output such as meat and milk (for cattle, poultry, pigs, sheep and goats).
Harvest efficiencyTechnological change in agriculture and forestryForest managementFraction of harvested wood used as product, the remainder being left as residues. Specified per biomass pool and forestry management type.
Forest plantation demandTechnological change in agriculture and forestryForest managementDemand for forest plantation area.
Increase in irrigated area - gridTechnological change in agriculture and forestryLand-use allocationIncrease in irrigated area, often based on external projections (e.g., FAO).
Production system mixTechnological change in agriculture and forestryLivestock systems
Nutrients
Livestock production is distributed over two systems for dairy and beef production (intensive: mixed and industrial; extensive: pastoral grazing), and to three systems for pigs (backyard, intermediate, intensive) and poultry (backyard, boilers, laying hens) with specific intensities, rations and feed conversion ratios.
... further results

Model variables

Parameters