Flood risks: Difference between revisions

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|FrameworkElementType=impact component
|FrameworkElementType=impact component
|Status=On hold
|Status=On hold
|IMAGEComponent=[[land cover and use]]
|IMAGEComponent=[[land cover and use]];
[[Human development]]
[[Human development]]
|ExternalModel=[[PCR-GLOBWB model| PCR-GLOBWB]]
|ExternalModel=[[PCR-GLOBWB model| PCR-GLOBWB]];
[[DIVA model| DIVA]]
[[DIVA model| DIVA]]
|KeyReference=Ward, P. J., B. Jongman, F. Sperna Weiland, A.A. Bouwman, R. van Beek., M. F. P. Bierkens., W. Ligtvoet and H. C. Winsemius (2013). Assessing flood risk at the global scale: model setup, results, and sensitivity. Environmental Research Letters. 8 044019 (doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/044019).
|KeyReference=Ward, P. J., B. Jongman, F. Sperna Weiland, A.A. Bouwman, R. van Beek., M. F. P. Bierkens., W. Ligtvoet and H. C. Winsemius (2013). Assessing flood risk at the global scale: model setup, results, and sensitivity. Environmental Research Letters. 8 044019 (doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/044019).
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Winsemius, H. C., L. P. H. Van Beek, B. Jongman, P. J. Ward and A. A. Bouwman (2012). A framework for global river flood risk assessments. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 9 (8), pp.  9611–9659  (DOI: 10.5194/hessd-9-9611-2012).
Winsemius, H. C., L. P. H. Van Beek, B. Jongman, P. J. Ward and A. A. Bouwman (2012). A framework for global river flood risk assessments. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 9 (8), pp.  9611–9659  (DOI: 10.5194/hessd-9-9611-2012).
|InputVar=Land cover; Temperature and precipitation (external); Population per gridcell; GDP per capita per gridcell;
|InputVar=Land cover; Temperature and precipitation (external); Population per gridcell; GDP per capita per gridcell;
|OutputVar=River discharge; Flooded depth; Flooded fraction; Affected GDP; GDP and population risk;
|OutputVar=River discharge; Flooded depth; Flooded fraction; Affected GDP; GDP and population risk;

Revision as of 12:21, 9 December 2013

GLOFRIS, the flood risk model in IMAGE 3.0
Flowchart Flood risks. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.

Key policy issues

  • How will future flood risk change as a result of socio-economic changes and climate change?
  • What would be the impact of floods, in terms of damage and victims, and where are the hot spots?
  • What would be suitable adaptation strategies and investment options related to flood risk?

Introduction

<ul><li>Property "HasKeyReference" (as page type) with input value "Ward, P. J., B. Jongman, F. Sperna Weiland, A.A. Bouwman, R. van Beek., M. F. P. Bierkens., W. Ligtvoet and H. C. Winsemius (2013). Assessing flood risk at the global scale: model setup, results, and sensitivity. Environmental Research Letters. 8 044019 (doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/044019).Winsemius, H. C., L. P. H. Van Beek, B. Jongman, P. J. Ward and A. A. Bouwman (2012). A framework for global river flood risk assessments. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 9 (8), pp. 9611–9659 (DOI: 10.5194/hessd-9-9611-2012)." contains invalid characters or is incomplete and therefore can cause unexpected results during a query or annotation process.</li> <!--br--><li>Property "HasReference" (as page type) with input value "Barredo, J. I., D. Saurí and M. C. Llasat (2012). Assessing trends in insured losses from floods in Spain 1971–2008. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 12 (5), pp. 1723–1729 (DOI: 10.5194/nhess-12-1723-2012). Bierkens, M. F. P. and L. P. H. Van Beek (2009). Seasonal predictability of European discharge: NAO and hydrological response time. Journal of Hydrometeorology 10 (4), pp. 953–968 (DOI: 10.1175/2009JHM1034.1). Bouwer, L. M., P. Bubeck and J. C. J. H. Aerts (2010). Changes in future flood risk due to climate and development in a Dutch polder area. Global Environmental Change 20 (3), pp. 463–471 (DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.04.002). Hinkel, J. and R. J. T. Klein (2009). Integrating knowledge to assess coastal vulnerability to sea-level rise: The development of the DIVA tool. Global Environmental Change 19 (3), pp. 384–395 (DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.03.002). IPCC (2012). Managing the risks of extreme events and aisasters to advance climate change adaptation. A special report of working groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, C.B.Field, V. Barros, T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, D.J. Dokken, K.L. Ebi, . . . P.M. Midgley (eds.), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK / New York, NY, USA. Loveland, T. R., B. C. Reed, J. F. Brown, D. O. Ohlen, Z. Zhu, L. Yang and J. W. Merchant (2000). Development of a global land cover characteristics database and IGBP DISCover from 1 km AVHRR data. International Journal of Remote Sensing 21, pp. 1303-1330. UNISDR (2005). Hyogo framework for action 2005 - 2015: Building the resilience of nations and communities to disasters, United Nations, UNISDR, Geneva. UNISDR (2011). Global assessment report on disaster risk reduction, United Nations UNISDR, Geneva, Switzerland. Van Beek, L. P. H., Y. Wada and M. F. P. Bierkens (2011). Global monthly water stress: 1. Water balance and water availability. Water Resources Research 47 (7), pp. W07517 (DOI: 10.1029/2010WR009791). Wada, Y., L. P. H. van Beek, D. Viviroli, H. H. Dürr, R. Weingartner and M. F. P. Bierkens (2011). Global monthly water stress: 2. Water demand and severity of water stress. Water Resources Research 47, pp. W07518 (DOI: 201110.1029/2010WR009792). Winsemius, H. C., L. P. H. Van Beek, B. Jongman, P. J. Ward and A. A. Bouwman (2012). A framework for global river flood risk assessments. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 9 (8), pp. 9611–9659 (DOI: 10.5194/hessd-9-9611-2012)." contains invalid characters or is incomplete and therefore can cause unexpected results during a query or annotation process.</li></ul>