IMAGE framework summary/Impacts: Difference between revisions

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Example: A further decline in biodiversity is projected in the Rio+20 baseline at an almost historical rate. While historically habitat loss has been the key driver of biodiversity loss, more important pressures in the coming decades are projected to be climate change, forestry and infrastructure (the figure below).
Example: A further decline in biodiversity is projected in the Rio+20 baseline at an almost historical rate. While historically habitat loss has been the key driver of biodiversity loss, more important pressures in the coming decades are projected to be climate change, forestry and infrastructure (the figure below).
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{{DisplayFigureLeftOptimalTemplate|Policy intervention figure LBP II}}
{{DisplayFigureLeftOptimalTemplate|Policy intervention figure Land and biodiversity policies (B)}}
===Human development===
===Human development===
Changes in the global environmental impact on human development in many ways. Via the link to the [[GISMO model]], the IMAGE framework describes impacts on human health, and the achievement of human development goals such as the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs; see Component [[Human development]]). The health module describes the burden of disease per gender and age, including communicable diseases, and also health impacts of air pollution and undernourishment, and interactions between these factors.  
Changes in the global environmental impact on human development in many ways. Via the link to the [[GISMO model]], the IMAGE framework describes impacts on human health, and the achievement of human development goals such as the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs; see Component [[Human development]]). The health module describes the burden of disease per gender and age, including communicable diseases, and also health impacts of air pollution and undernourishment, and interactions between these factors.  
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Example: With regard to global hunger, the Rio+20 scenario shows improvement compared to the last few decades. This improvement is a consequence of rapid income growth in low-income regions and levelling off of population growth (the figure below). The baseline scenario also shows a decline in population without access to safe drinking water, sanitation and modern energy. In all cases, the improvement is too slow compared to policy ambitions.
Example: With regard to global hunger, the Rio+20 scenario shows improvement compared to the last few decades. This improvement is a consequence of rapid income growth in low-income regions and levelling off of population growth (the figure below). The baseline scenario also shows a decline in population without access to safe drinking water, sanitation and modern energy. In all cases, the improvement is too slow compared to policy ambitions.
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{{DisplayFigureLeftOptimalTemplate|Figure6 IF}}
{{DisplayFigureLeftOptimalTemplate|Figure6 IMAGE framework summary}}
===Other impacts===
===Other impacts===
Other impacts calculated in the IMAGE framework using separate impact models include flood risks (Component [[Flood risks]]), land degradation (Component [[Land degradation]]) and ecosystem services (Component [[Ecosystem services]]). Many impacts of global environmental change are an integral part of the modules in the Human system and the Earth system, such as water stress and climate change impact on crop yields (Component [[Impacts]]).
Other impacts calculated in the IMAGE framework using separate impact models include flood risks (Component [[Flood risks]]), land degradation (Component [[Land degradation]]) and ecosystem services (Component [[Ecosystem services]]). Many impacts of global environmental change are an integral part of the modules in the Human system and the Earth system, such as water stress and climate change impact on crop yields (Component [[Impacts]]).
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Revision as of 14:36, 30 June 2014