Energy supply: Difference between revisions

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|IMAGEComponent=Scenario drivers; Land cover and use; Crop and grass; Emissions; Climate policy; Atmospheric composition and climate; Energy demand; Energy conversion; Energy supply and demand;
|IMAGEComponent=Scenario drivers; Land cover and use; Crop and grass; Emissions; Climate policy; Atmospheric composition and climate; Energy demand; Energy conversion; Energy supply and demand;
|KeyReference=De Vries et al., 2007; Van Vuuren et al., 2008; Van Vuuren et al., 2009;
|KeyReference=De Vries et al., 2007; Van Vuuren et al., 2008; Van Vuuren et al., 2009;
|InputVar=Technology development of energy supply; Energy resources; Trade restriction; Demand for primary energy; Land for bio-energy - grid; Potential bio-energy yield - grid;
|InputVar=Technology development of energy supply; Energy resources; Trade restriction; Demand for primary energy; Potential bio-energy yield - grid; Land for bio-energy - grid;  
|Parameter=Initial production costs;
|Parameter=Initial production costs;
|OutputVar=Primary energy price; Carbon storage price; Bio-energy production; Energy security indicators; Total primary energy supply; Marginal abatement cost; Energy and industry activity level;
|OutputVar=Primary energy price; Carbon storage price; Energy security indicators; Total primary energy supply; Marginal abatement cost; Energy and industry activity level; Bioenergy production;  
|Description=The supply of different energy resources obviously forms a key component of the energy system. On the one hand, supply is constrained on an annual (for renewables) or cumulative (for fossil and nuclear) basis. In addition, resources are unevenly spread across world regions and often poorly matched with regional energy requirements. It relates directly to the notion of energy security, but also determines to a large extent the many environmental impacts of the energy system. The IMAGE energy model [[TIMER model|TIMER]] concentrates on long-term dynamics, not on short term market conditions. For all primary energy carriers, costs are based in the long run on the interplay between resource depletion (upward pressure on prices) and technology development (downward pressure on prices). In the model, technology development is introduced for most fuels and renewable options as learning curves: costs decrease endogenously as a function of cumulative capacity in place in some cases exogenous technology change assumptions are made. Depletion is a function of either cumulative production, as for fossil fuel resources and nuclear feedstocks, or of annual production as for renewables.
|Description=The supply of different energy resources obviously forms a key component of the energy system. On the one hand, supply is constrained on an annual (for renewables) or cumulative (for fossil and nuclear) basis. In addition, resources are unevenly spread across world regions and often poorly matched with regional energy requirements. It relates directly to the notion of energy security, but also determines to a large extent the many environmental impacts of the energy system. The IMAGE energy model [[TIMER model|TIMER]] concentrates on long-term dynamics, not on short term market conditions. For all primary energy carriers, costs are based in the long run on the interplay between resource depletion (upward pressure on prices) and technology development (downward pressure on prices). In the model, technology development is introduced for most fuels and renewable options as learning curves: costs decrease endogenously as a function of cumulative capacity in place in some cases exogenous technology change assumptions are made. Depletion is a function of either cumulative production, as for fossil fuel resources and nuclear feedstocks, or of annual production as for renewables.



Revision as of 15:01, 26 March 2014

TIMER model, energy supply module
Flowchart Energy supply. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.

Key policy issues

  • How can energy resources be exploited to meet future primary energy demand?
  • How can energy supply and demand be balanced between world regions, and how will this effect security of supply?
  • How rapidly can the transition to more sustainable energy supply be made?

Introduction