Energy supply/Description: Difference between revisions
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{{FormulaAndTableTemplate|Table_ES}} | {{FormulaAndTableTemplate|Table_ES}} | ||
The table above provides an overview of the fossil-fuel categories, for illustrational purposes here aggregated into only 5 categories for each fuel ([[Rogner, 1997]]; [[Mulders et al., 2006]]). Each category has its own typical production costs. The table indicates that the assumptions for oil and natural gas supply limit this supply to only 2 to 8 times the 1970–2005 production level, for all categories, up to current reserves of unconventional sources. Production estimates on other unconventional resources are much larger, albeit very speculative. For coal, even current reserves amount to almost 10 times the production level of the last three decades. For all fuels, the model assumes that, if prices would increase (or spectacular technology development takes place), the energy could be produced in the higher-cost resource categories. The values in the table above represent medium estimates in the model. The model can also use higher or lower estimates in the scenarios. The final production costs in each region are determined by the combined influence of resource depletion and learning-by-doing (see background information on [[Energy | The table above provides an overview of the fossil-fuel categories, for illustrational purposes here aggregated into only 5 categories for each fuel ([[Rogner, 1997]]; [[Mulders et al., 2006]]). Each category has its own typical production costs. The table indicates that the assumptions for oil and natural gas supply limit this supply to only 2 to 8 times the 1970–2005 production level, for all categories, up to current reserves of unconventional sources. Production estimates on other unconventional resources are much larger, albeit very speculative. For coal, even current reserves amount to almost 10 times the production level of the last three decades. For all fuels, the model assumes that, if prices would increase (or spectacular technology development takes place), the energy could be produced in the higher-cost resource categories. The values in the table above represent medium estimates in the model. The model can also use higher or lower estimates in the scenarios. The final production costs in each region are determined by the combined influence of resource depletion and learning-by-doing (see background information on [[Energy supply and demand/Technical learning|'learning by doing']]. | ||
===Trade=== | ===Trade=== |
Revision as of 10:40, 12 May 2014
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