Air pollution and energy policies/Policy issues: Difference between revisions
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{{ComponentPolicyIssueTemplate | {{ComponentPolicyIssueTemplate | ||
|Reference=Kruyt et al. 2009 | |||
|Description=A description of the energy system is provided in the components belonging to [[Energy demand and supply]]. Moreover, a detailed description on emissions can be found in [[Emissions]]. As indicated in Figure 8.1.1, the various parts of the energy system are closely connected. This implies that achieving a particular goal also has important consequences for other goals. For instance, climate policies can lead to less fossil-fuel use and therefore also may reduce air pollution. A brief description on how the various goals are included in IMAGE is provided below. | |||
===Energy security=== | |||
===Baseline developments=== | |||
The concept of energy security is widely used, yet there is no consensus on its precise interpretation. Some deal with one aspect of energy security, such as resource estimates, reserve-to-production ratios, diversity indices and, import dependence, whereas others attempt to capture several relevant elements in a single aggregated index. On the basis of IMAGE results, it is possible to calculate a wide set of indicators, allowing a broad assessment of relevant changes ([[Kruyt et al. 2009]]). Typically, the IMAGE results show that in baseline scenarios without additional policy, depletion of currently known fossil resources accelerates due to increasing global demand. Oil production is projected to become increasingly concentrated in a smaller number of producing countries, over the 2010–2030 period. After 2030/2050 however, production of unconventional sources from other regions will diversify the market. For natural gas and certainly for coal, depletion dynamics are less noticeable in the results. | |||
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Revision as of 18:07, 10 January 2014
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