Forest management/Data uncertainties limitations: Difference between revisions

From IMAGE
Jump to navigation Jump to search
No edit summary
No edit summary
Line 15: Line 15:


===Limitations===
===Limitations===
The only driver of deforestation modelled in IMAGE 3.0 is the net expansion of agriculture per region. Many drivers of deforestation are not related to agricultural expansion, but there is no global assessment of these other drivers. Therefore, total deforestation rates are calibrated in IMAGE. Drivers and extent of deforestation are very uncertain and subject to debate, yet determine future deforestation and deforestation emissions in scenario simulations.
Timber demand in IMAGE 3.0 is the sum of the demand for sawlogs, pulpwood and fuelwood. This total demand is than used in harvesting forests across the world, without knowing anymore the underlying wood types. So, forest plantations, for example, can used to fulfill the demand for either sawlogs of fuelwood. For specific assessments (e.g. for timber use for modern biomass), it would have been useful to remain the three wood types in the allocation.  
 
The timber demand in a region is the sum of local/regional demands and timber claims by other regions. The trade assumptions are adopted from external models, limiting the application of the model for cases with regional timber scarcity  (which will change the total demand in a region).  
 
}}
}}

Revision as of 10:02, 4 November 2016

Forest management module in IMAGE 3.0
Flowchart Forest management. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page. The option of forest plantations in IMAGE and LPJmL is still under development, and expected to be available soon.