Drivers/Scenario drivers: Difference between revisions
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*reference projection with no new policies ([[OECD, 2008]]); | *reference projection with no new policies ([[OECD, 2008]]); | ||
*single ‘best guess’ projection combining past trends with assumptions on how they may develop ([[PBL, 2010]]; [[PBL, 2011]]); | *single ‘best guess’ projection combining past trends with assumptions on how they may develop ([[PBL, 2010]]; [[PBL, 2011]]); | ||
*multiple contrasting scenarios that span a range of uncertainties about the future ([[IPCC, 2000]]; [[MA, 2005]]; [[Moss et al. | *multiple contrasting scenarios that span a range of uncertainties about the future ([[IPCC, 2000]]; [[MA, 2005]]; [[Moss et al., 2010]]; [[IIASA, 2013]]); | ||
*specific or broad policy scenarios directed to improving future outcomes ([[OECD, 2012]]; [[PBL, 2012]]). | *specific or broad policy scenarios directed to improving future outcomes ([[OECD, 2012]]; [[PBL, 2012]]). | ||
Revision as of 12:12, 9 May 2014
Parts of Drivers/Scenario drivers
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| Models/Databases |
| Relevant overviews |
| Key publications |
| References |
