Drivers/Scenario drivers: Difference between revisions
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m (moved Drivers/Scenario drivers to Scenario drivers/Scenario drivers: Text replace - "Drivers" to "Scenario drivers") |
m (Text replace - "Land use allocation-Agricultural systems" to "Agricultural systems") |
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What can be assumed as exogenous scenario drivers are assumptions about how much of the ultimate resource is available in future. This depends on assumptions about future technological capabilities and assumed policies reflecting human preferences. Technological optimism is associated with higher end estimates of non-conventional fossil and nuclear fuel reserves. Nature conservation and other concerns can limit the potential for conversion of natural land for agriculture, but may also impose limits to hydro-electricity generation. | What can be assumed as exogenous scenario drivers are assumptions about how much of the ultimate resource is available in future. This depends on assumptions about future technological capabilities and assumed policies reflecting human preferences. Technological optimism is associated with higher end estimates of non-conventional fossil and nuclear fuel reserves. Nature conservation and other concerns can limit the potential for conversion of natural land for agriculture, but may also impose limits to hydro-electricity generation. | ||
In IMAGE 3.0 renewable and non-renewable energy resource by volume and price are explicitly modeled; see component [[energy supply]]. Similarly the potential for land to be used for agriculture, ranked by suitability and subject to nature conservation policies, sets boundaries on future land conversion; see component [[ | In IMAGE 3.0 renewable and non-renewable energy resource by volume and price are explicitly modeled; see component [[energy supply]]. Similarly the potential for land to be used for agriculture, ranked by suitability and subject to nature conservation policies, sets boundaries on future land conversion; see component [[Agricultural systems]]. | ||
==Technological change== | ==Technological change== | ||
Revision as of 17:37, 11 December 2013
Parts of Drivers/Scenario drivers
| Projects/Applications |
| Models/Databases |
| Relevant overviews |
| Key publications |
| References |
