Drivers/Model drivers: Difference between revisions
< Drivers
Jump to navigation
Jump to search
No edit summary |
No edit summary |
||
| Line 12: | Line 12: | ||
Future technological change is dependent on the storyline and needs to be consistent with other scenario drivers. For instance, strong economic growth is typically facilitated by rapid technology development and deployment, rising wages and a labour shift from primary production (agriculture) to secondary (industry) and tertiary (services) sectors. These developments foster more advanced management and technology in agriculture. In order to reflect different trends in exogenous yield increase, FAO trends are combined with projections of economic growth to develop scenario-specific trends of yield changes in multiple—baseline studies, like for the {{AbbrTemplate|SSP}}s. Because the MF is such a decisive factor in future net agricultural land area, careful consideration of uncertainties is warranted. | Future technological change is dependent on the storyline and needs to be consistent with other scenario drivers. For instance, strong economic growth is typically facilitated by rapid technology development and deployment, rising wages and a labour shift from primary production (agriculture) to secondary (industry) and tertiary (services) sectors. These developments foster more advanced management and technology in agriculture. In order to reflect different trends in exogenous yield increase, FAO trends are combined with projections of economic growth to develop scenario-specific trends of yield changes in multiple—baseline studies, like for the {{AbbrTemplate|SSP}}s. Because the MF is such a decisive factor in future net agricultural land area, careful consideration of uncertainties is warranted. | ||
|Table=<h2>Table of drivers</h2> | |||
{{DriverTableTemplate}} | {{DriverTableTemplate}} | ||
}} | }} | ||
Revision as of 10:51, 24 May 2014
Parts of Drivers/Model drivers
| Projects/Applications |
| Models/Databases |
| Relevant overviews |
| Key publications |
| References |
