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  1. Alexander et al., 2017 (P. Alexander, R. Prestele, P. H. Verburg, A. Arneth, C. Baranzelli, F. Batista e Silva, C. Brown, A. Butler, K. Calvin, N. Dendoncker, J. C. Doelman, R. Dunford, K. Engström, D. Eitelberg, S. Fujimori, P. A. Harrison, T. Hasegawa, P. Havlik, S. Holzhauer, F. Humpenöder, C. Jacobs-Crisioni, A. K. Jain, T. Krisztin, P. Kyle, C. Lavalle, T. Lenton, J. Liu, P. Meiyappan, A. Popp, T. Powell, R. D. Sands, R. Schaldach, E. Stehfest, J. Steinbuks, A. Tabeau, H. van Meijl, M. A. Wise, M. D. A. Rounsevell (2017). Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections. Global Change Biology, 23(2), pp. 767-781, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13447.)
  2. Barbarossa et al., 2017 (V. Barbarossa, M. A. J. Huijbregts, A. J. Hendriks, A. H. W. Beusen, J. Clavreul, H. King, A. M. Schipper (2017). Developing and testing a global-scale regression model to quantify mean annual streamflow. Journal of Hydrology, 544, pp. 479-487, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.11.053.)
  3. Bauer et al., 2017 (N. Bauer, K. Calvin, J. Emmerling, O. Fricko, S. Fujimori, J. Hilaire, J. Eom, V. Krey, E. Kriegler, I. Mouratiadou, H. Sytze de Boer, M. van den Berg, S. Carrara, V. Daioglou, L. Drouet, J. E. Edmonds, D. Gernaat, P. Havlik, N. Johnson, D. Klein, P. Kyle, G. Marangoni, T. Masui, R. C. Pietzcker, M. Strubegger, M. Wise, K. Riahi, D. P. van Vuuren (2017). Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives. Global Environmental Change, 42, pp. 316-330, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.07.006.)
  4. Bijl et al., 2018b (D.L. Bijl, P.W. Bogaart, S.C. Dekker, D.P. van Vuuren (2018). Unpacking the nexus: Different spatial scales for water, food and energy. Global Environmental Change, 48, pp. 22-31, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.11.005.)
  5. Bouwman et al., 2017 (A. F. Bouwman, A. H. W. Beusen, L. Lassaletta, D. F. Van Apeldoorn, H. J. M. Van Grinsven, J. Zhang, M. K. Ittersum Van (2017). Lessons from temporal and spatial patterns in global use of N and P fertilizer on cropland. Scientific Reports, 7, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep40366.)
  6. Braspenning Radu et al., submitted (O. Braspenning Radu, M. van den Berg, Z. Klimont, S. Deetman, G. Janssens-Maenhout, M. Muntean, F. Dentener, D.P. van Vuuren (). Exploring synergies between climate and air quality policies using long-term global and regional emission scenarios. Submitted, available on request.)
  7. Cayuela et al., 2017 (M. L. Cayuela, E. Aguilera, A. Sanz-Cobena, D. C. Adams, D. Abalos, L. Barton, R. Ryals, W. L. Silver, M. A. Alfaro, V. A. Pappa, P. Smith, J. Garnier, G. Billen, L. Bouwman, A. Bondeau, L. Lassaletta (2017). Direct nitrous oxide emissions in Mediterranean climate cropping systems: Emission factors based on a meta-analysis of available measurement data. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 238, pp. 25-35, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2016.10.006.)
  8. Chuwah et al., 2016 (C. Chuwah, T. van Noije, D. P. van Vuuren, P. Le Sager, W. Hazeleger (2016). Global and regional climate impacts of future aerosol mitigation in an RCP6.0-like scenario in EC-Earth. Climatic Change, 134(1-2), pp. 1-14, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1525-9.)
  9. Cox et al., 2018 (B. Cox, C.L. Mutel, C. Bauer, A. Mendoza Beltran, D.P. Van Vuuren (2018). Uncertain Environmental Footprint of Current and Future Battery Electric Vehicles. Environmental Science and Technology, 52(8), pp. 4989-4995, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.8b00261.)
  10. Dagnachew et al., 2017 (A.G. Dagnachew, P.L. Lucas, A.F. Hof, D.E.H.J. Gernaat, H.-S. de Boer, D.P. van Vuuren (2017). The role of decentralized systems in providing universal electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa – A model-based approach. Energy, 139, pp. 184-195, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2017.07.144.)
  11. Daioglou et al., 2016 (V. Daioglou, E. Stehfest, B. Wicke, A. Faaij, D. P. van Vuuren (2016). Projections of the availability and cost of residues from agriculture and forestry. GCB Bioenergy, 8(2), pp. 456-470, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcbb.12285.
    Link to PBL-website: http://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/projections-of-the-availability-and-cost-of-residues-from-agriculture-and-forestry.    )
  12. Daioglou et al., 2017 (V. Daioglou, J.C. Doelman, E. Stehfest, C. Müller, B. Wicke, A. Faaij, D.P. Van Vuuren (2017). Greenhouse gas emission curves for advanced biofuel supply chains. Nature Climate Change, 7(12), pp. 920-924, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-017-0006-8.)
  13. De Cian et al., 2016 (E. De Cian, A. F. Hof, G. Marangoni, M. Tavoni, D. P. Van Vuuren (2016). Alleviating inequality in climate policy costs: An integrated perspective on mitigation, damage and adaptation. Environmental Research Letters, 11(7), doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/074015.)
  14. Deetman et al., 2018 (S. Deetman, S. Pauliuk, D.P. Van Vuuren, E. Van Der Voet, A. Tukker (2018). Scenarios for Demand Growth of Metals in Electricity Generation Technologies, Cars, and Electronic Appliances. Environmental Science and Technology, 52(8), pp. 4950-4959, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.7b05549.)
  15. Den Elzen et al., 2016b (M. den Elzen, H. Fekete, N. Höhne, A. Admiraal, N. Forsell, A. F. Hof, J. G. J. Olivier, M. Roelfsema, H. van Soest (2016). Greenhouse gas emissions from current and enhanced policies of China until 2030: Can emissions peak before 2030?. Energy Policy, 89, pp. 224-236, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2015.11.030.)
  16. Den Elzen et al., 2019 (M. den Elzen, T. Kuramochi, N. Höhne, J. Cantzler, K. Esmeijer, H. Fekete, T. Fransen, K. Keramidas, M. Roelfsema, F. Sha, H. van Soest, T. Vandyck (2019). Are the G20 economies making enough progress to meet their NDC targets?. Energy Policy, pp. 238-250, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2018.11.027.)
  17. Dermody et al., 2018 (B.J. Dermody, M. Sivapalan, E. Stehfest, D.P. Van Vuuren, M.J. Wassen, M.F.P. Bierkens, S.C. Dekker (2018). A framework for modelling the complexities of food and water security under globalisation. Earth System Dynamics, 9(1), pp. 103-118, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-103-2018.)
  18. Doelman et al., 2020 (Doelman J.C., Stehfest E., van Vuuren D.P., Tabeau A., Hof A.F., Braakhekke M.C., Gernaat D.E.H.J., van den Berg M., van Zeist W.-J., Daioglou V., van Meijl H., Lucas P.L. (2020). Afforestation for climate change mitigation: Potentials, risks and trade-offs. Global Change Biology, 26(3), pp. 1576-1591, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14887.)
  19. Edelenbosch et al. 2018 (O.Y. Edelenbosch, A. F. Hof, B. Nykvist, B. Girod & D. P. van Vuuren (2018). Transport electrification: the effect of recent battery cost reduction on future emission scenarios. Climatic Change, 151, pp. 95–108, doi: http://dx.doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2250-y.)
  20. Edelenbosch et al., 2017 (O.Y. Edelenbosch, D.P. van Vuuren, C. Bertram, S. Carrara, J. Emmerling, H. Daly, A. Kitous, D.L. McCollum, N. Saadi Failali (2017). Transport fuel demand responses to fuel price and income projections: Comparison of integrated assessment models. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 55, pp. 310-321, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2017.03.005.)
  21. Edelenbosch et al., 2018a (O.Y. Edelenbosch, D.L. McCollum, H. Pettifor, C. Wilson, D.P. Van Vuuren (2018). Interactions between social learning and technological learning in electric vehicle futures. Environmental Research Letters, 13(12), doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aae948.)
  22. Edelenbosch et al., 2018b (O.Y. Edelenbosch, A.F. Hof, B. Nykvist, B. Girod, D.P. van Vuuren (2018). Transport electrification: the effect of recent battery cost reduction on future emission scenarios. Climatic Change, 151(2), pp. 95-108, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2250-y.)
  23. Eitelberg et al., 2016 (D. A. Eitelberg, J. van Vliet, J. C. Doelman, E. Stehfest, P. H. Verburg (2016). Demand for biodiversity protection and carbon storage as drivers of global land change scenarios. Global Environmental Change, 40, pp. 101-111, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.014.)
  24. Engström et al., 2016 (K. Engström, S. Olin, M. D. A. Rounsevell, S. Brogaard, D. P. Van Vuuren, P. Alexander, D. Murray-Rust, A. Arneth (2016). Assessing uncertainties in global cropland futures using a conditional probabilistic modelling framework. Earth System Dynamics, 7(4), pp. 893-915, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-893-2016.)
  25. FAO, 2018 (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (2018). The future of food and agriculture. Alternative pathways to 2050, FAO, FAO, Rome(URL: http://www.fao.org/3/I8429EN/i8429en.pdf).)
  26. Forsell et al., 2016 (N. Forsell, O. Turkovska, M. Gusti, M. Obersteiner, M. Den Elzen, P. Havlik (2016). Assessing the INDCs' land use, land use change, and forest emission projections. Carbon Balance and Management, 11(1), doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13021-016-0068-3.)
  27. Frank et al., 2018 (Stefan Frank, Petr Havlík, Elke Stehfest, Hans van Meijl, Peter Witzke, Ignacio Pérez-Domínguez, Michiel van Dijk, Jonathan C. Doelman, Thomas Fellmann, Jason F. L. Koopman, Andrzej Tabeau & Hugo Valin (2018). Agricultural non-CO2 emission reduction potential in the context of the 1.5 °C target.. Nature Climate Change, 9(1), pp. 66-72, doi: http://dx.doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0358-8.
    Link to PBL-website: https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/agricultural-non-co2-emission-reduction-potential-in-the-context-of-the-1-5-c-target.    )
  28. Fuss et al., 2016 (S. Fuss, C. D. Jones, F. Kraxner, G. P. Peters, P. Smith, M. Tavoni, D. P. Van Vuuren, J. G. Canadell, R. B. Jackson, J. Milne, J. R. Moreira, N. Nakicenovic, A. Sharifi, Y. Yamagata (2016). Research priorities for negative emissions. Environmental Research Letters, 11(11), doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/115007.)
  29. Geels et al., 2016 (F. W. Geels, F. Berkhout, D. P. Van Vuuren (2016). Bridging analytical approaches for low-carbon transitions. Nature Climate Change, 6(6), pp. 576-583, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2980.)
  30. Gernaat 2019 (Gernaat, DEHJ (2019). Phd Thesis: The role of renewable energy in long-term energy and climate scenarios.)
  31. Gernaat et al., 2020 (David E.H.J.Gernaat, Harmen-Sytzede Boer, Louise C.Dammeier, Detlef P.van Vuuren (2020). The role of residential rooftop photovoltaic in long-term energy and climate scenarios. Applied Energy, 279, doi: http://dx.doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.115705.)
  32. Gidden et al., 2018 (M.J. Gidden, S. Fujimori, M. van den Berg, D. Klein, S.J. Smith, D.P. van Vuuren, K. Riahi (2018). A methodology and implementation of automated emissions harmonization for use in Integrated Assessment Models. Environmental Modelling and Software, 105, pp. 187-200, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.04.002.)
  33. Grassi et al., 2017 (G. Grassi, J. House, F. Dentener, S. Federici, M. Den Elzen, J. Penman (2017). The key role of forests in meeting climate targets requires science for credible mitigation. Nature Climate Change, 7(3), pp. 220-226, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3227.)
  34. Hallegatte et al., 2016 (S. Hallegatte, J. Rogelj, M. Allen, L. Clarke, O. Edenhofer, C. B. Field, P. Friedlingstein, L. Van Kesteren, R. Knutti, K. J. Mach, M. Mastrandrea, A. Michel, J. Minx, M. Oppenheimer, G. K. Plattner, K. Riahi, M. Schaeffer, T. F. Stocker, D. P. Van Vuuren (2016). Mapping the climate change challenge. Nature Climate Change, 6(7), pp. 663-668, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3057.)
  35. Harper et al., 2018 (A.B. Harper, T. Powell, P.M. Cox, J. House, C. Huntingford, T.M. Lenton, S. Sitch, E. Burke, S.E. Chadburn, W.J. Collins, E. Comyn-Platt, V. Daioglou, J.C. Doelman, G. Hayman, E. Robertson, D. van Vuuren, A. Wiltshire, C.P. Webber, A. Bastos, L. Boysen, P. Ciais, N. Devaraju, A.K. Jain, A. Krause, B. Poulter, S. Shu (2018). Land-use emissions play a critical role in land-based mitigation for Paris climate targets. Nature Communications, 9(1), doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-05340-z.)
  36. Hasegawa et al., 2018 (T. Hasegawa, S. Fujimori, P. Havlík, H. Valin, B.L. Bodirsky, J.C. Doelman, T. Fellmann, P. Kyle, J.F.L. Koopman, H. Lotze-Campen, D. Mason-D’Croz, Y. Ochi, I. Pérez Domínguez, E. Stehfest, T.B. Sulser, A. Tabeau, K. Takahashi, J. Takakura, H. van Meijl, W.-J. van Zeist, K. Wiebe, P. Witzke (2018). Risk of increased food insecurity under stringent global climate change mitigation policy. Nature Climate Change, 8(8), pp. 699-703, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0230-x.)
  37. Herrero et al., 2016 (M. Herrero, B. Henderson, P. Havlík, P. K. Thornton, R. T. Conant, P. Smith, S. Wirsenius, A. N. Hristov, P. Gerber, M. Gill, K. Butterbach-Bahl, H. Valin, T. Garnett, E. Stehfest (2016). Greenhouse gas mitigation potentials in the livestock sector. Nature Climate Change, 6(5), pp. 452-461, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2925.)
  38. Hirsch et al., 2018 (A.L. Hirsch, B.P. Guillod, S.I. Seneviratne, U. Beyerle, L.R. Boysen, V. Brovkin, E.L. Davin, J.C. Doelman, H. Kim, D.M. Mitchell, T. Nitta, H. Shiogama, S. Sparrow, E. Stehfest, D.P. van Vuuren, S. Wilson (2018). Biogeophysical Impacts of Land-Use Change on Climate Extremes in Low-Emission Scenarios: Results From HAPPI-Land. Earth's Future, 6(3), pp. 396-409, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2017EF000744.)
  39. Häyhä et al., 2016 (T. Häyhä, P. L. Lucas, D. P. van Vuuren, S. E. Cornell, H. Hoff (2016). From Planetary Boundaries to national fair shares of the global safe operating space — How can the scales be bridged?. Global Environmental Change, 40, pp. 60-72, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.008.)
  40. Höhne et al., 2018 (N. Höhne, H. Fekete, M.G.J. den Elzen, A.F. Hof, T. Kuramochi (2018). Assessing the ambition of post-2020 climate targets: a comprehensive framework. Climate Policy, 18(4), pp. 425-441, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2017.1294046.)
  41. IEA, 2017 (International Energy Agency (2017). World Energy Balances (Edition 2017)(URL: https://doi.org/10.1787/9ddec1c1-en).)
  42. Jewell et al., 2018 (J. Jewell, D. McCollum, J. Emmerling, C. Bertram, D.E.H.J. Gernaat, V. Krey, L. Paroussos, L. Berger, K. Fragkiadakis, I. Keppo, N. Saadi, M. Tavoni, D. Van Vuuren, V. Vinichenko, K. Riahi (2018). Limited emission reductions from fuel subsidy removal except in energy-exporting regions. Nature, 554(7691), pp. 229-233, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature25467.)
  43. Jones et al., 2016 (C. D. Jones, P. Ciais, S. J. Davis, P. Friedlingstein, T. Gasser, G. P. Peters, J. Rogelj, D. P. Van Vuuren, J. G. Canadell, A. Cowie, R. B. Jackson, M. Jonas, E. Kriegler, E. Littleton, J. A. Lowe, J. Milne, G. Shrestha, P. Smith, A. Torvanger, A. Wiltshire (2016). Simulating the Earth system response to negative emissions. Environmental Research Letters, 11(9), doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/095012.)
  44. Jägermeyr et al., 2017 (Jonas Jägermeyr, Amandine Pastor, Hester Biemans & Dieter Gerten (2017). Reconciling irrigated food production with environmental flows for Sustainable Development Goals implementation. Nature Communications, 8, doi: http://dx.doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms15900.)
  45. Kermeli et al., 2019 (K. Kermeli, O.Y. Edelenbosch, W. Crijns-Graus, B.J. van Ruijven, S. Mima, D.P. van Vuuren, E. Worrell (2019). The scope for better industry representation in long-term energy models: Modeling the cement industry. Applied Energy, 240, pp. 964-985, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.252.)
  46. Kim et al., 2018 (H. Kim, I.M.D. Rosa, R. Alkemade, P. Leadley, G. Hurtt, A. Popp, D.P. Van Vuuren, P. Anthoni, A. Arneth, D. Baisero, E. Caton, R. Chaplin-Kramer, L. Chini, A. De Palma, F. Di Fulvio, M. Di Marco, F. Espinoza, S. Ferrier, S. Fujimori, R.E. Gonzalez, M. Gueguen, C. Guerra, M. Harfoot, T.D. Harwood, T. Hasegawa, V. Haverd, P. Havlík, S. Hellweg, S.L.L. Hill, A. Hirata, A.J. Hoskins, J.H. Janse, W. Jetz, J.A. Johnson, A. Krause, D. Leclère, I.S. Martins, T. Matsui, C. Merow, M. Obersteiner, H. Ohashi, B. Poulter, A. Purvis, B. Quesada, C. Rondinini, A.M. Schipper, R. Sharp, K. Takahashi, W. Thuiller, N. Titeux, P. Visconti, C. Ware (2018). A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios. Geoscientific Model Development, 11(11), pp. 4537-4562, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-4537-2018.)
  47. Koelbl et al., 2016 (B. S. Koelbl, M. A. van den Broek, H. C. Wilting, M. W. J. L. Sanders, T. Bulavskaya, R. Wood, A. P. C. Faaij, D. P. van Vuuren (2016). Socio-economic impacts of low-carbon power generation portfolios: Strategies with and without CCS for the Netherlands. Applied Energy, 183, pp. 257-277, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.08.068.)
  48. Kok et al., 2016 (M. Kok, M. Lüdeke, P. Lucas, T. Sterzel, C. Walther, P. Janssen, D. Sietz, I. de Soysa (2016). A new method for analysing socio-ecological patterns of vulnerability. Regional Environmental Change, 16(1), pp. 229-243, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-014-0746-1.)
  49. Kok et al., 2018 (M.T.J. Kok, R. Alkemade, M. Bakkenes, M. van Eerdt, J. Janse, M. Mandryk, T. Kram, T. Lazarova, J. Meijer, M. van Oorschot, H. Westhoek, R. van der Zagt, M. van der Berg, S. van der Esch, A.-G. Prins, D.P. van Vuuren (2018). Pathways for agriculture and forestry to contribute to terrestrial biodiversity conservation: A global scenario-study. Biological Conservation, 221, pp. 137-150, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2018.03.003.)
  50. Krause et al., 2017 (A. Krause, T.A.M. Pughl, A.D. Bayer, J.C. Doelman, F. Humpenöder, P. Anthoni, S. Olin, B.L. Bodirsky, A. Popp, E. Stehfest, A. Arneth (2017). Global consequences of afforestation and bioenergy cultivation on ecosystem service indicators. Biogeosciences, 14(21), pp. 4829-4850, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-14-4829-2017.)
  51. Krause et al., 2018 (A. Krause, T.A.M. Pugh, A.D. Bayer, W. Li, F. Leung, A. Bondeau, J.C. Doelman, F. Humpenöder, P. Anthoni, B.L. Bodirsky, P. Ciais, C. Müller, G. Murray-Tortarolo, S. Olin, A. Popp, S. Sitch, E. Stehfest, A. Arneth (2018). Large uncertainty in carbon uptake potential of land-based climate-change mitigation efforts. Global Change Biology, 24(7), pp. 3025-3038, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14144.)
  52. Kriegler et al., 2018 (E. Kriegler, G. Luderer, N. Bauer, L. Baumstark, S. Fujimori, A. Popp, J. Rogelj, J. Strefer, D.P. Van Vuuren (2018). Pathways limiting warming to 1.5°C: A tale of turning around in no time?. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 376(2119), doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2016.0457.)
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