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 BelongsToComponentHasAltTitleHasCaptionHasFigureTypeHasPageName
002g ind16 CPClimate policyRegional and global abatement costs for NDCsPolicy intervention figure002g ind16.png
Baseline figure Agricultural economyAgricultural economyGlobal agricultural production and areas per regionFood availability measured in kcal per capita per day available for consumption, for initial situation (2010) and for the SSP scenarios (2100), globally and by region. (van Meijl et al., 2020b)Baseline figureErcab7abaf2 hr.jpg
Baseline figure Air pollution and energy policiesAir pollution and energy policiesGlobal household access to modern fuels for cooking and heating under a baseline scenarioA few key indicators show the trends for energy security, access, air pollution under a baseline scenario.Baseline figure129x img13.png
Baseline figure Aquatic biodiversityAquatic biodiversityAquatic Mean Species Abundance under a baseline scenarioIn a baseline scenario, aquatic biodiversity is projected to decrease further.Baseline figure102x img13.png
Baseline figure Atmospheric composition and climateAtmospheric composition and climateGreenhouse gas emissions, CO2 concentration, temperature increase and radiative forcing under baseline and climate policy scenariosIn the policy scenarios, emissions decrease strongly after 2020, while concentration levels only decrease or stabilise after 2050. Global mean temperature, due to inertia in the climate system, will not stabilise until the end of this century under the most ambitious climate policy scenario (2.6 W/m2).Baseline figure091x img13.png
Baseline figure Carbon cycle and natural vegetationCarbon cycle and natural vegetation
IMAGE framework summary/Earth system
Cumulative terrestrial carbon flux of long-term climate scenariosCumulative terrestrial carbon flux of long-term climate scenarios (Müller et al., 2016)Baseline figure600px 075g img13.png
Baseline figure Climate policyClimate policyGreenhouse gas emissions under baseline scenarios and pledges, for BrazilThe national projection is from the National Decree No. 7390, and the WEO 2010 projection is from the World Energy Outlook (2010) of International Energy Agency.Baseline figure122x img13.png
Baseline figure Crops and grassCrops and grassRelative change in decadal mean production according to the GGC models, with and without CO2 fertilization effectThe effect of climate change on crop yields strongly depends on the effect of CO2 fertilisation, also represented in LPJmL. Lines show means across several climate scenarios; adopted from Rosenzweig et al. (2014).Baseline figure078x img13.png
Baseline figure DriversDriversPopulation under the OECD baseline and SSP scenariosThe total global population is projected to peak and then decline in the coming century, except under the high-end assumptions (SSP3). By 2100, the population may range between the current and twice as many as in 2000 in the SSPs. The OECD Outlook assumes an intermediate population growth trajectory, close to the medium population SSP scenarios.Baseline figure142g img13.png
Baseline figure Ecosystem servicesEcosystem servicesNumder of the seven ecosystem services sufficiently suppled, 2000Assessing how many of the 7 ecosystem services addressed in IMAGE (food, water, Carbon sequestration, erosion protection, pollination, pest control, flood protection, tourism) can be sufficiently supplied allows to identify hotspots of losses in ecosystem services.Baseline figure115k img13.png
Baseline figure EmissionsEmissionsGloval greenhouse gas emissions and temperature changes under a baseline scenarioFuture greenhouse gas emissions are mostly driven by an increase in energy use, while the relative contribution of land-use related emissions is projected to decrease.Baseline figure171x img13.png
Baseline figure Energy conversionEnergy conversionElectricity production, per energy carrier under a baseline scenarioIncrease in primary energy demand for electricity production is dominated by coal, despite a rapid growth of renewable energy.Baseline figure029g img13.png
Baseline figure Energy demandEnergy demandGlobal final energy demand under a baseline scenarioBetween 2010 and 2050 energy demand for transport and industry, and for natural gas and electricity contribute most to the overall increase.Baseline figure023x img13.png
Baseline figure Energy supplyEnergy supplyEnergy production per region under a baseline scenarioOver time the share of most important energy producers for different forms of energy changes. This has implications for energy security.Baseline figure036x img13.png
Baseline figure Flood risksFlood risksFlood-related damage in Bangladesh, 30-year event, based on the historic climate (1961-1990)Inundation depth of 30-year flood scaled down to Bangladesh (left); The estimated annual damage due to floods (not only due to a 30-year event) is more concentrated when applying the land-use method compared to the population method.Baseline figure107x img13.png
Baseline figure Forest managementForest managementForest and forestryAreas of managed forest are projected to increase in the coming decades; improved forest management, especially forest plantations, could limit the area required for wood production.Baseline figure054x img13.png
Baseline figure Human developmentHuman developmentChild mortality under a baseline scenario, per cause, per regionUnder a baseline scenario, the global under-five mortality rates will only reach the level of the Millenium Development goals by 2050.Baseline figure118x img13.png
Baseline figure IMAGE framework introductionHuman development indicators under the baseline scenarioThe baseline scenario also shows a decline in population without access to safe drinking water, sanitation and modern energy. In all cases, the improvement is too slow compared to policy ambitions.017x img13.png
Baseline figure Land degradationLand degradationWater erosion sensitivity of global land areas under baseline and sustainability scenariosUnder baseline conditions, the risk of high and very high water-induced erosion increases strongly up until 2050. Under the sustainability scenario (PBL, 2012), most of the increase under the baseline scenario is avoided by the combined effect of less land conversion and less climatic change.Baseline figure163g img13.png
Baseline figure Land-use allocationLand-use allocationDistribution of land systemsNatural land conversion in selected SSP scenarios for the 2020-2100 period (van Vuuren et al., 2021)Baseline figureCapture.PNG
Baseline figure Livestock systemsLivestock systemsGlobal grass consumption under a baseline scenarioDespite a shift towards compound feed, global grass consumption in livestock systems is projected to increase (PBL, 2012).Baseline figure063g img13.png
Baseline figure NutrientsNutrientsSoil nitrogen budget per regionThe nitrogen soil budgets in Northern America, Europe, Russia and Central Asia, Japan and Oceania are stable or decreasing after 2005, they are projected to strongly increase in many other regions in a baseline scenario.Baseline figure147g img13.png
Baseline figure Terrestrial biodiversityTerrestrial biodiversityPressures driving global biodiversity loss under a baseline scenarioLand-use change and encroachment are projected to remain the most important drivers of biodiversity loss, but climate change will also become a significant pressure.Baseline figure099g img13.png
Baseline figure WaterWaterGlobal water demand and water stress under a baseline scenarioAs a result of increasing water demand and climate change, the number of people living under water stress is projected to increase (top, OECD 2012), and more regions might face a reduction in crop production due to irrigation water shortage (bottom, Biemans 2012).Baseline figure082x img13.png
Baseline figure Water IIIMAGE framework summary/Earth systemRegions vulnerable to crop production losses due to irrigation water shortageRegions vulnerable to crop production losses due to shortages in irrigation water (Biemans, 2012).Baseline figure084k img13.png
Big Flowchartthe complete framework flowchartThe Big Flowchart provides an overview of the IMAGE framework, its model components, drivers, variables and data flows.FlowchartBigFlowchart.png
Core model venn diagramComputer models overviewVenn diagram core modelVenn diagram of models used in IMAGE frameworkOther type of figureCore model.png
ElementSummary DescriptionDetailed description page exampleSummary of elements in Detailed description pageOther type of figureDescription v2.png
ElementSummary IntroductionIntroduction page exampleSummary of elements in Introduction pageOther type of figureIntroduction v2.png
ElementSummary Policy IssuesPolicy issues page exampleSummary of elements in Policy issues pageOther type of figurePolicyIssues v2.png
ElementSummary ReferencesAll reference page exampleSummary of elements in All reference pageOther type of figureReferences v2.png
ElementSummary UncertaintiesData uncertainties and limitations page exampleSummary of elements in Data uncertainties and limitations pageOther type of figureUncertainties v2.png
Figure1 IMAGE framework introductionIAM models distinguished by their level of detail in economic aspects (horizontal) and biophysical/technical aspects (vertical ).IAM models distinguished by their level of detail in economic aspects (horizontal) and biophysical/technical aspects (vertical ).Other type of figure002s img13.png
Figure1 IMAGE framework summarySummary of framework figure1Trends in population and income.Other type of figure007x img13.png
Figure2 IMAGE framework summaryEnergy supply and demandGlobal primary energy supply in baseline and sustainability scenariosTrends in world energy use, with and without climate policy.Other type of figure009x img13.png
Figure3 IMAGE framework summaryGlobal primary energy supply in baseline and sustainability scenariosTrends in world energy use, with and without climate policy.Other type of figure011x img13.png
Figure4 IMAGE framework summaryGlobal geenhouse gas emissions and temperature changesChanges in emissions under baseline (trend scenario) and 2ºC scenario (challenge pathways)Other type of figure013x img13.png
Figure6 IMAGE framework summaryHuman development indicators in baseline scenarioHuman development indicatorsOther type of figure017x img13.png
Flowchart Agricultural economyAgricultural economyMAGNET- the agro-economic model in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Agricultural economy. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.Flowchart045x img13.png
Flowchart Air pollution and energy policiesAir pollution and energy policiesLinkages between goals and measures for energy access, energy security, climate change and air pollutionFlowchart Air pollution and energy policies. Linkages between components of the IMAGE system, energy policy objectives and possible policy measures.Flowchart128s img13.png
Flowchart Aquatic biodiversityAquatic biodiversityGLOBIO model for aquatic ecosystemsFlowchart Aquatic biodiversity. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.Flowchart101s img13.png
Flowchart Atmospheric composition and climateAtmospheric composition and climateAtmospheric composition and climate model (based on MAGICC 6.0) in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Atmospheric composition and climate. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.Flowchart090s img13.png
Flowchart Carbon cycle and natural vegetationCarbon cycle and natural vegetationCarbon cycle and natural vegetation module of LPJmL, in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Carbon cycle and natural vegetation. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.Flowchart073s img13.png
Flowchart Climate policyClimate policyFAIR, the climate policy model in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Climate policy. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.Flowchart121s img13.png
Flowchart Crops and grassCrops and grassCrop and grass module of LPJmL, in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Crops and grass. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.Flowchart077s img13.png
Flowchart DriversDriversScenario development and model drivers for IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Drivers. Model drives are inferred from scenario storylines taking into account external data sources, such as time series, cross-sector data, and literature sources.Flowchart020s img13.png
Flowchart Ecosystem servicesEcosystem servicesEcosystem Services model in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Ecosystem services. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.Flowchart114s img13.png
Flowchart EmissionsEmissionsEmission module of IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Emissions. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page. Anthropogenic sources, for natural sources see Table 5.2.2. More detail on inputs and outputs, and how they link to other IMAGE components is presented at the end of this section (Emission table).Flowchart148s img13.png
Flowchart Energy conversionEnergy conversionTIMER model, electricity moduleFlowchart Energy conversion. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.Flowchart028s img13.png
Flowchart Energy demandEnergy demandTIMER model, energy demand moduleSome sectors are represented in a generic way as shown here, the sectors transport, residential and heavy industry are modelled in specific modules.Flowchart022s img13.png
... further results


 FrameworkElementType
Agricultural economypressure component
Air pollution and energy policiesresponse component
Aquatic biodiversityimpact component
Atmospheric composition and climatestate component
Carbon cycle and natural vegetationstate component
Climate policyresponse component
Crops and grassstate component
Driversdriver component
Ecosystem servicesimpact component
Emissionsinteraction component
Energy conversionpressure component
Energy demandpressure component
Energy supplypressure component
Flood risksimpact component
Forest managementpressure component
Human developmentimpact component
Land and biodiversity policiesresponse component
Land cover and land useinteraction component
Land degradationimpact component
Land-use allocationpressure component
Livestock systems
Nutrientsstate component
Terrestrial biodiversityimpact component
Waterstate component