Agricultural economy/Policy issues: Difference between revisions
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{{ComponentPolicyIssueTemplate | {{ComponentPolicyIssueTemplate | ||
|Reference=Banse et al., 2008; Verburg et al., 2009; PBL, 2010; PBL, 2011; Westhoek et al. | |Reference=Banse et al., 2008; Verburg et al., 2009; PBL, 2010; PBL, 2011; Westhoek et al., in preparation; Overmars et al., accepted; | ||
|Description=In a typical baseline scenario, agricultural crop and livestock production increases strongly, driven by both population increase and dietary changes. This is also the case in baseline scenarios shown in Figure 4.2.2[[*********]] (based on both [[MAGNET model|MAGNET]] and [[IMPACT model|IMPACT]] calculations). As a consequence of production increases, also the total area of cropland and pasture is projected to increase, although this is less certain. Depending on scenario and region, some baseline scenarios may also show decreasing land areas, certainly after 2030 when population starts to decline in several regions. | |Description=In a typical baseline scenario, agricultural crop and livestock production increases strongly, driven by both population increase and dietary changes. This is also the case in baseline scenarios shown in Figure 4.2.2[[*********]] (based on both [[MAGNET model|MAGNET]] and [[IMPACT model|IMPACT]] calculations). As a consequence of production increases, also the total area of cropland and pasture is projected to increase, although this is less certain. Depending on scenario and region, some baseline scenarios may also show decreasing land areas, certainly after 2030 when population starts to decline in several regions. | ||
|Example=The policy interventions that can be studied with the coupled IMAGE-MAGNET and IMAGE-IMPACT framework are numerous: | |Example=The policy interventions that can be studied with the coupled IMAGE-MAGNET and IMAGE-IMPACT framework are numerous: | ||
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- Measures to reduce the loss of biodiversity via an increase in protected areas, increased agricultural productivity, and waste reduction ([[PBL, 2010]]). Several biodiversity options, in a stepwise introduction, affect land and commodity prices as well as land-use change (Figure 3b)[[*********]]. | - Measures to reduce the loss of biodiversity via an increase in protected areas, increased agricultural productivity, and waste reduction ([[PBL, 2010]]). Several biodiversity options, in a stepwise introduction, affect land and commodity prices as well as land-use change (Figure 3b)[[*********]]. | ||
- Consumption changes, dietary preferences, and their effect on global land use, prices and emissions (e.g. ([[PBL, 2011]]; [[Stehfest et al., 2013]]) | - Consumption changes, dietary preferences, and their effect on global land use, prices and emissions (e.g. ([[PBL, 2011]]; [[Stehfest et al., 2013]]) | ||
- Changes in crop and livestock production systems; for example, more efficient production methods, or organic farming ([[Westhoek et al. | - Changes in crop and livestock production systems; for example, more efficient production methods, or organic farming ([[Westhoek et al., in preparation]]). | ||
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Revision as of 09:58, 2 May 2014
Parts of Agricultural economy/Policy issues
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