Energy conversion/Data uncertainties limitations: Difference between revisions

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{{ComponentDataUncertaintyAndLimitationsTemplate
{{ComponentDataUncertaintyAndLimitationsTemplate
|Reference=Van Vliet et al., 2013; Hoogwijk et al., 2007;  Hendriks et al., 2004b; Van Ruijven et al., 2007; WEC, 2010; MIT, 2003; IRENA, 2016; De Boer and Van Vuuren, under review;
|Reference=Hendriks et al., 2004b; Van Ruijven et al., 2007; WEC, 2010; MIT, 2003; IRENA, 2016; De Boer and Van Vuuren, under review; Pietzcker et al., under review; Luderer et al., in preparation;
|Description=<h2>Data, uncertainties and limitations</h2>
|Description=<h2>Data, uncertainties and limitations</h2>
===Data===
===Data===
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===Uncertainties===
===Uncertainties===
The two main uncertainties are calculation of future energy conversion relating to development rates of the conversion technologies, and the consequences for the electricity system of a high level of market penetration of renewable energy.  
The two main uncertainties are calculation of future energy conversion relating to development rates of the conversion technologies, and the consequences for the electricity system of a high level of market penetration of renewable energy.  
TIMER electric power generation submodule has been tested for different levels of market penetration of renewable energy in the United States and western Europe ([[Hoogwijk et al., 2007]]). The model was shown to reproduce the behaviour of more detailed models that describe system integration costs. More recent studies seem to suggest that some of the limitations in renewable energy penetration can be overcome at reasonable costs, implying the current description is rather conservative. Integration costs for renewable energy are very uncertain because large shares of market penetration still need to be achieved, except in a few countries. In experiments run by The power system was exposed to all types of technology limitations in experiments run by Van Vliet et al. ([[Van Vliet et al., 2013|2013]]). These experiments showed that to achieve low stabilisation targets, a large portfolio of mitigation options should be available.  
TIMER electric power generation submodule has been tested for different levels of market penetration of renewable energy ([[De Boer and Van Vuuren, under review]]; [[Pietzcker et al., under review]]; [[Luderer et al., in preparation]]). The model was shown to reproduce the behaviour of more detailed models that describe electricity system developments.  
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===Limitations===
===Limitations===

Revision as of 13:32, 11 November 2016