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002g ind16 CPClimate policyRegional and global abatement costs for NDCsPolicy intervention figureFile:002g ind16.png
Baseline figure Agricultural economyAgricultural economyGlobal agricultural production and areas per regionFood availability measured in kcal per capita per day available for consumption, for initial situation (2010) and for the SSP scenarios (2100), globally and by region. (van Meijl et al., 2020b)Baseline figureFile:Ercab7abaf2 hr.jpg
Baseline figure Air pollution and energy policiesAir pollution and energy policiesGlobal household access to modern fuels for cooking and heating under a baseline scenarioA few key indicators show the trends for energy security, access, air pollution under a baseline scenario.Baseline figureFile:129x img13.png
Baseline figure Aquatic biodiversityAquatic biodiversityAquatic Mean Species Abundance under a baseline scenarioIn a baseline scenario, aquatic biodiversity is projected to decrease further.Baseline figureFile:102x img13.png
Baseline figure Atmospheric composition and climateAtmospheric composition and climateGreenhouse gas emissions, CO2 concentration, temperature increase and radiative forcing under baseline and climate policy scenariosIn the policy scenarios, emissions decrease strongly after 2020, while concentration levels only decrease or stabilise after 2050. Global mean temperature, due to inertia in the climate system, will not stabilise until the end of this century under the most ambitious climate policy scenario (2.6 W/m2).Baseline figureFile:091x img13.png
Baseline figure Carbon cycle and natural vegetationCarbon cycle and natural vegetation
IMAGE framework summary/Earth system
Cumulative terrestrial carbon flux of long-term climate scenariosCumulative terrestrial carbon flux of long-term climate scenarios (Müller et al., 2016)Baseline figureFile:600px 075g img13.png
Baseline figure Climate policyClimate policyGreenhouse gas emissions under baseline scenarios and pledges, for BrazilThe national projection is from the National Decree No. 7390, and the WEO 2010 projection is from the World Energy Outlook (2010) of International Energy Agency.Baseline figureFile:122x img13.png
Baseline figure Crops and grassCrops and grassRelative change in decadal mean production according to the GGC models, with and without CO2 fertilization effectThe effect of climate change on crop yields strongly depends on the effect of CO2 fertilisation, also represented in LPJmL. Lines show means across several climate scenarios; adopted from Rosenzweig et al. (2014).Baseline figureFile:078x img13.png
Baseline figure DriversDriversPopulation under the OECD baseline and SSP scenariosThe total global population is projected to peak and then decline in the coming century, except under the high-end assumptions (SSP3). By 2100, the population may range between the current and twice as many as in 2000 in the SSPs. The OECD Outlook assumes an intermediate population growth trajectory, close to the medium population SSP scenarios.Baseline figureFile:142g img13.png
Baseline figure Ecosystem servicesEcosystem servicesNumder of the seven ecosystem services sufficiently suppled, 2000Assessing how many of the 7 ecosystem services addressed in IMAGE (food, water, Carbon sequestration, erosion protection, pollination, pest control, flood protection, tourism) can be sufficiently supplied allows to identify hotspots of losses in ecosystem services.Baseline figureFile:115k img13.png
Baseline figure EmissionsEmissionsGloval greenhouse gas emissions and temperature changes under a baseline scenarioFuture greenhouse gas emissions are mostly driven by an increase in energy use, while the relative contribution of land-use related emissions is projected to decrease.Baseline figureFile:171x img13.png
Baseline figure Energy conversionEnergy conversionElectricity production, per energy carrier under a baseline scenarioIncrease in primary energy demand for electricity production is dominated by coal, despite a rapid growth of renewable energy.Baseline figureFile:029g img13.png
Baseline figure Energy demandEnergy demandGlobal final energy demand under a baseline scenarioBetween 2010 and 2050 energy demand for transport and industry, and for natural gas and electricity contribute most to the overall increase.Baseline figureFile:023x img13.png
Baseline figure Energy supplyEnergy supplyEnergy production per region under a baseline scenarioOver time the share of most important energy producers for different forms of energy changes. This has implications for energy security.Baseline figureFile:036x img13.png
Baseline figure Flood risksFlood risksFlood-related damage in Bangladesh, 30-year event, based on the historic climate (1961-1990)Inundation depth of 30-year flood scaled down to Bangladesh (left); The estimated annual damage due to floods (not only due to a 30-year event) is more concentrated when applying the land-use method compared to the population method.Baseline figureFile:107x img13.png
Baseline figure Forest managementForest managementForest and forestryAreas of managed forest are projected to increase in the coming decades; improved forest management, especially forest plantations, could limit the area required for wood production.Baseline figureFile:054x img13.png
Baseline figure Human developmentHuman developmentChild mortality under a baseline scenario, per cause, per regionUnder a baseline scenario, the global under-five mortality rates will only reach the level of the Millenium Development goals by 2050.Baseline figureFile:118x img13.png
Baseline figure IMAGE framework introductionHuman development indicators under the baseline scenarioThe baseline scenario also shows a decline in population without access to safe drinking water, sanitation and modern energy. In all cases, the improvement is too slow compared to policy ambitions.File:017x img13.png
Baseline figure Land degradationLand degradationWater erosion sensitivity of global land areas under baseline and sustainability scenariosUnder baseline conditions, the risk of high and very high water-induced erosion increases strongly up until 2050. Under the sustainability scenario (PBL, 2012), most of the increase under the baseline scenario is avoided by the combined effect of less land conversion and less climatic change.Baseline figureFile:163g img13.png
Baseline figure Land-use allocationLand-use allocationDistribution of land systemsNatural land conversion in selected SSP scenarios for the 2020-2100 period (van Vuuren et al., 2021)Baseline figureFile:Capture.PNG
Baseline figure Livestock systemsLivestock systemsGlobal grass consumption under a baseline scenarioDespite a shift towards compound feed, global grass consumption in livestock systems is projected to increase (PBL, 2012).Baseline figureFile:063g img13.png
Baseline figure NutrientsNutrientsSoil nitrogen budget per regionThe nitrogen soil budgets in Northern America, Europe, Russia and Central Asia, Japan and Oceania are stable or decreasing after 2005, they are projected to strongly increase in many other regions in a baseline scenario.Baseline figureFile:147g img13.png
Baseline figure Terrestrial biodiversityTerrestrial biodiversityPressures driving global biodiversity loss under a baseline scenarioLand-use change and encroachment are projected to remain the most important drivers of biodiversity loss, but climate change will also become a significant pressure.Baseline figureFile:099g img13.png
Baseline figure WaterWaterGlobal water demand and water stress under a baseline scenarioAs a result of increasing water demand and climate change, the number of people living under water stress is projected to increase (top, OECD 2012), and more regions might face a reduction in crop production due to irrigation water shortage (bottom, Biemans 2012).Baseline figureFile:082x img13.png
Baseline figure Water IIIMAGE framework summary/Earth systemRegions vulnerable to crop production losses due to irrigation water shortageRegions vulnerable to crop production losses due to shortages in irrigation water (Biemans, 2012).Baseline figureFile:084k img13.png
Big Flowchartthe complete framework flowchartThe Big Flowchart provides an overview of the IMAGE framework, its model components, drivers, variables and data flows.FlowchartFile:BigFlowchart.png
Core model venn diagramComputer models overviewVenn diagram core modelVenn diagram of models used in IMAGE frameworkOther type of figureFile:Core model.png
ElementSummary DescriptionDetailed description page exampleSummary of elements in Detailed description pageOther type of figureFile:Description v2.png
ElementSummary IntroductionIntroduction page exampleSummary of elements in Introduction pageOther type of figureFile:Introduction v2.png
ElementSummary Policy IssuesPolicy issues page exampleSummary of elements in Policy issues pageOther type of figureFile:PolicyIssues v2.png
ElementSummary ReferencesAll reference page exampleSummary of elements in All reference pageOther type of figureFile:References v2.png
ElementSummary UncertaintiesData uncertainties and limitations page exampleSummary of elements in Data uncertainties and limitations pageOther type of figureFile:Uncertainties v2.png
Figure1 IMAGE framework introductionIAM models distinguished by their level of detail in economic aspects (horizontal) and biophysical/technical aspects (vertical ).IAM models distinguished by their level of detail in economic aspects (horizontal) and biophysical/technical aspects (vertical ).Other type of figureFile:002s img13.png
Figure1 IMAGE framework summarySummary of framework figure1Trends in population and income.Other type of figureFile:007x img13.png
Figure2 IMAGE framework summaryEnergy supply and demandGlobal primary energy supply in baseline and sustainability scenariosTrends in world energy use, with and without climate policy.Other type of figureFile:009x img13.png
Figure3 IMAGE framework summaryGlobal primary energy supply in baseline and sustainability scenariosTrends in world energy use, with and without climate policy.Other type of figureFile:011x img13.png
Figure4 IMAGE framework summaryGlobal geenhouse gas emissions and temperature changesChanges in emissions under baseline (trend scenario) and 2ºC scenario (challenge pathways)Other type of figureFile:013x img13.png
Figure6 IMAGE framework summaryHuman development indicators in baseline scenarioHuman development indicatorsOther type of figureFile:017x img13.png
Flowchart Agricultural economyAgricultural economyMAGNET- the agro-economic model in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Agricultural economy. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.FlowchartFile:045x img13.png
Flowchart Air pollution and energy policiesAir pollution and energy policiesLinkages between goals and measures for energy access, energy security, climate change and air pollutionFlowchart Air pollution and energy policies. Linkages between components of the IMAGE system, energy policy objectives and possible policy measures.FlowchartFile:128s img13.png
Flowchart Aquatic biodiversityAquatic biodiversityGLOBIO model for aquatic ecosystemsFlowchart Aquatic biodiversity. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.FlowchartFile:101s img13.png
Flowchart Atmospheric composition and climateAtmospheric composition and climateAtmospheric composition and climate model (based on MAGICC 6.0) in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Atmospheric composition and climate. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.FlowchartFile:090s img13.png
Flowchart Carbon cycle and natural vegetationCarbon cycle and natural vegetationCarbon cycle and natural vegetation module of LPJmL, in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Carbon cycle and natural vegetation. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.FlowchartFile:073s img13.png
Flowchart Climate policyClimate policyFAIR, the climate policy model in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Climate policy. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.FlowchartFile:121s img13.png
Flowchart Crops and grassCrops and grassCrop and grass module of LPJmL, in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Crops and grass. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.FlowchartFile:077s img13.png
Flowchart DriversDriversScenario development and model drivers for IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Drivers. Model drives are inferred from scenario storylines taking into account external data sources, such as time series, cross-sector data, and literature sources.FlowchartFile:020s img13.png
Flowchart Ecosystem servicesEcosystem servicesEcosystem Services model in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Ecosystem services. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.FlowchartFile:114s img13.png
Flowchart EmissionsEmissionsEmission module of IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Emissions. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page. Anthropogenic sources, for natural sources see Table 5.2.2. More detail on inputs and outputs, and how they link to other IMAGE components is presented at the end of this section (Emission table).FlowchartFile:148s img13.png
Flowchart Energy conversionEnergy conversionTIMER model, electricity moduleFlowchart Energy conversion. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.FlowchartFile:028s img13.png
Flowchart Energy demandEnergy demandTIMER model, energy demand moduleSome sectors are represented in a generic way as shown here, the sectors transport, residential and heavy industry are modelled in specific modules.FlowchartFile:022s img13.png
Flowchart Energy supplyEnergy supplyTIMER model, energy supply moduleFlowchart Energy supply. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.FlowchartFile:034s img13.png
Flowchart Energy supply and demandEnergy supply and demandTIMER, the energy demand and supply model in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Energy supply and demand. Overview of the IMAGE/TIMER modelFlowchartFile:021s img13.png
Flowchart Flood risksFlood risksGLOFRIS, the flood risk model in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Flood risks. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.FlowchartFile:105x img13.png
Flowchart Forest managementForest managementForest management module in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Forest management. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page. The option of forest plantations in IMAGE and LPJmL is still under development, and expected to be available soon.FlowchartFile:053s img13.png
Flowchart Human developmentHuman developmentGISMO model to assess human development in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Human development. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.FlowchartFile:117s img13.png
Flowchart Land and biodiversity policies (A)Land and biodiversity policiesPolicy interventions in agricultural demandFlowchart Land and biodiversity policies (A). Policy interventions in the agricultural demand system.FlowchartFile:133s img13.png
Flowchart Land and biodiversity policies (B)Land and biodiversity policiesPolicy interventions in the crop and livestock production systemsFlowchart Land and biodiversity policies (B). Policy interventions in crop and livestock production systems.FlowchartFile:134s img13.png
Flowchart Land and biodiversity policies (C)Land and biodiversity policiesPolicy interventions in the forestry systemFlowchart Land and biodiversity policies (C). Policy interventions targeting the forestry sector.FlowchartFile:135s img13.png
Flowchart Land and biodiversity policies (D)Land and biodiversity policiesPolicy interventions in land-use regulationFlowchart Land and biodiversity policies (D). Policy interventions that regulate land use and land supply.FlowchartFile:136s img13.png
Flowchart Land degradationLand degradationTwo approaches to assess land degradation in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Land degradation. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.FlowchartFile:110x img13.png
Flowchart Land-use allocationLand-use allocationLand-use allocation model in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Land-use allocation. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.FlowchartFile:058x img13.png
Flowchart Livestock systemsLivestock systemsLivestock systems module in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Livestock systems. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.FlowchartFile:062s img13.png
Flowchart NutrientsNutrientsNutrient module of IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Nutrients. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.FlowchartFile:149x img13.png
Flowchart Terrestrial biodiversityTerrestrial biodiversityGLOBIO model for terrestrial biodiversity in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Terrestrial biodiversity. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.FlowchartFile:098s img13.png
Flowchart WaterWaterWater module of LPJmL, in IMAGE 3.0Flowchart Water. See also the Input/Output Table on the introduction page.FlowchartFile:080x img13.png
Formula1 EmissionsEmissionsFormula 1: Emission factorFormula 1.Other type of figureFile:Formula1 E.PNG
Formula1 Energy demandEnergy demandFormula 1: Final energy demandFormula 1.Other type of figureFile:Formula1 ED.PNG
Formula1 Land degradationLand degradationLand degradation formula 1Other type of figureFile:Formula1 LD.PNG
Formula1 Livestock systemsLivestock systemsFormule1 LSFormule1 LSOther type of figureFile:Formule1 LS.PNG
Formula1 NutrientsNutrientsFormula 1: Human nutrient emissionsFormula 1.Other type of figureFile:Formula1 N.PNG
Formula2 Energy demandEnergy demandFormula 2: Indicated market shareFormula 2.Other type of figureFile:Formula2 ED.PNG
Formula2 Land degradationLand degradationLand degradation formula 2Other type of figureFile:Formula2 LD.PNG
Formula2 Livestock systemsLivestock systemsFormule2 LSFormula2Other type of figureFile:Formule2 LS.PNG
Formula2 NutrientsNutrientsFormula 2: The soil N budget.Formula 2.Other type of figureFile:Formula2 N.PNG
Formula3 Land degradationLand degradationLand degradation formula 3Other type of figureFile:Formula3 LD.PNG
Formula4 Land degradationLand degradationLand degradation formula 3Other type of figureFile:Formula4 LD.PNG
Global Anthropogenic CO2 EmissionsFigure Global Anthropogenic CO2 Emissions showing results of 4 scenarios of Rio+20Figure showing results of 4 scenarios of Rio+20Other type of figureFile:Global Anthropogenic CO2 Emissions.PNG
IMAGE framework schematicFramework overviewAn overview of the IMAGE frameworkAn overview of the IMAGE framework and its componentsFlowchartFile:004s img13.png
IMAGE framework schematic - DPSIR classificationAn overview of the IMAGE framework DPSIR classificationAn overview of the IMAGE framework DPSIR classificationFlowchartFile:DPSIR classification.png
Icon ABAquatic biodiversityLink to framework components overviewImpact component: Aquatic biodiversityIconFile:Icon AB.png
Icon ACCAtmospheric composition and climateLink to framework components overviewState component: Atmospheric composition and climateIconFile:Icon ACC.png
Icon AEFAgricultural economyLink to framework components overviewPressure component: Agricultural economyIconFile:Icon AEF.png
Icon ALUAgriculture and land useLink to framework components overviewMain pressure component: Agriculture and land useIconFile:Icon ALU.png
Icon APEPAir pollution and energy policieslink to framework components overviewResponse component: Air pollution and energy policiesIconFile:Icon APEP.png
Icon ASLand-use allocationlink to framework components overviewPressure component: Land-use allocationIconFile:Icon AS.png
Icon CGCrops and grassLink to framework components overviewState component: Crops and grassIconFile:Icon CG.png
Icon CPClimate policyLink to framework components overviewResponse component: Climate policyIconFile:Icon CP.png
Icon DDriversLink to framework components overviewDriver component: DriverIconFile:Icon D.png
Icon EEmissionsLink to framework components overviewPressure component: EmissionsIconFile:Icon E.png
Icon ECEnergy conversionLink to framework components overviewPressure component: Energy conversionIconFile:Icon EC.png
Icon EDEnergy demandLink to framework components overviewPressure component: Energy demandIconFile:Icon ED.png
Icon EGSEcosystem servicesLink to framework components overviewImpact component: Ecosystem servicesIconFile:Icon EGS.png
Icon ESEnergy supplyLink to framework components overviewPressure component: Energy supplyIconFile:Icon ES.png
Icon ESDEnergy supply and demandLink to framework components overviewMain pressure component: Energy supply and demandIconFile:Icon ESD.png
Icon FMForest managementLink to framework components overviewPressure component: Forest managementIconFile:Icon FM.png
Icon FRFlood riskslink to framework components overviewImpact component: Flood risksIconFile:Icon FR.png
Icon HWaterlink to framework components overviewState component: WaterIconFile:Icon H.png
Icon HDHuman developmentlink to framework components overviewImpact component: Human developmentIconFile:Icon HD.png
Icon IImpactslink to framework components overviewMain impact component: ImpactIconFile:Icon I.png
Icon IFIMAGE framework summary
IMAGE framework
IconFile:Icon IF.png
Icon LBPLand and biodiversity policieslink to framework components overviewResponse component: Land and biodiversity policiesIconFile:Icon LBP.png
Icon LCULand cover and land uselink to framework components overviewState component: Land cover and land useIconFile:Icon LCU.png
Icon LDLand degradationlink to framework components overviewImpact component: Land degradationIconFile:Icon LD.png
Icon LSLivestock systemslink to framework components overviewPressure component: Livestock systemsIconFile:Icon LS.png
Icon NNutrientslink to framework components overviewState component: NutrientsIconFile:Icon N.png
Icon NVCCCarbon cycle and natural vegetationLink to framework components overviewState component: Carbon cycle and natural vegetationIconFile:Icon NVCC.png
Icon PRPolicy responsesLink to framework components overviewPolicy responsesIconFile:Icon PR.png
Icon TBTerrestrial biodiversityLink to framework components overviewImpact component: Terrestrial biodiversityIconFile:Icon TB.png
Icon VHACarbon, vegetation, agriculture and waterlink to framework components overviewMain state components: Carbon, vegetation, agriculture and waterIconFile:Icon VHA.png
Landcover - scenario comparisonLandcover of four RIO+20 scenarios in 2050Other type of figureFile:Landcover Rio 2050 scenarioComparison .PNG
ModelComponentMappingFigureImage framework scheme with mapping of components to the computer modelsMapping of IMAGE framework components to the computer models.
Note: Land-use emissions are also calculated in LPJmL.
Other type of figureFile:175s img13.png
Other Figure Land degradationFood prices and food price effects, 2050Other type of figureFile:039g glo21.png
Other Figure Land degradation 2Change in cereal yields in baseline scenario, 2015 - 2050Other type of figureFile:021g glo21.png
PFT to NLCTFlowchart for the classification of natural land cover types (biomes) based on of plant functional typesNatural land cover type (biome) classification from area shares of individual Plant Functional Types (PFT)s (expresses as foliage projected cover, FPC) and mean annual temperature (Tmean). Subscripts of FPC refer to individual PFTs (1: tropical broadleaved evergreen, 2: tropical broadleaved raingreen, 3: temperate needleleaved evergreen, 4: temperate broadleaved evergreen, 5: temperate broadleaved summergreen, 6: boreal summergreen, 7: boreal needleleaved evergreen, 8: C3 herbaceous, 9: C4 herbaceous), tropical PFTs (“trop”) are PFTs 1 and 2, temperate PFTs (“temp”) are PFTs 3-5, boreal PFTS (“bor”) are PFTs 6 and 7, tree PFTs (“tree”) are PFTs 1-7, grass PFTs are PFTs 8 and 9.Other type of figureFile:PFT2NLCT.png
Policy intervention figure Agricultural economyAgricultural economy(a) Land use in 2010. Land-use change in (b) 2010–2050 and (c) 2010–2100 for the scenarios with afforestation (Doelman et al., 2020)Policy intervention figureFile:Gcb14887-fig-0006-m.jpg
Policy intervention figure Air pollution and energy policiesAir pollution and energy policiesGlobal energy trade under the baseline and sustainability scenarios, 2050Compared to the baseline, energy trade is significantly reduced under the sustainability scenarios (PBL, 2012).Policy intervention figureFile:132g img13.png
Policy intervention figure Aquatic biodiversityAquatic biodiversityAvoided aquatic biodiversity loss compared to the baseline, under a combination of policy optionsA set of ambitious policy options could reduce aquatic biodiversity loss compared to a baseline scenario.Policy intervention figureFile:170k img13.png
Policy intervention figure Atmospheric composition and climateAtmospheric composition and climateRadiative forcing and temperature change under baseline and policy scenariosIn addition to ‘conventional’ climate policy, there may be situations where urgent action on climate change is required, either via rapid mitigation, or via Solar Radiation Management (SRM) (e.g. sulphur emissions to the stratosphere). Radiative forcing is immediately stabilised at the intended level by SRM, and also temperatures are adjusted immediately (though not yet at the equilibrium level), and even faster under extreme SRM than would be possible through strong mitigation. However, substantial uncertainties and risks are related to such drastic manipulations of the radiation balance.Policy intervention figureFile:096x img13.png
Policy intervention figure Carbon cycle and natural vegetation IICarbon cycle and natural vegetationChange in cumulative CO2 emissions under increasing forest protection, compared to the baseline scenario, 2010-2030Increasingly strict REDD regimes might lead to substantial reduction in cumulative terrestrial CO2 emission (Overmars et al., 2014).Policy intervention figureFile:600px 076g img13.png
Policy intervention figure Climate policyClimate policyGreenhouse gas emissions, radiative forcing and costs under mitigation scenariosScenario results describing emission pathways representing optimal and delayed policy action (Copenhagen pledges) in 2020, in terms of CO2 emission (including land use), associated radiative forcing (including all gases and aerosol forcing), and global mitigation costs (as percentage of GDP).Policy intervention figureFile:125x img13.png
Policy intervention figure Crops and grassCrops and grassClimate change impacts on crop yields from 1981 - 2010 to 2070 - 2099By the end of the century climate change impacts on crop yields under the baseline could be reduced by stringent climate policy.Policy intervention figureFile:079x2 img13.png
Policy intervention figure DriversDriversGDP under OECD baseline and the SSP scenariosProjected total world GDP in the OECD environmental outlook (OECD, 2012) and in the SSP scenarios according to OECD (left), per world region in SSP2 according to OECD (middle) and according to different sources for SSP3 (right). GDP (Gross Domestic Product) is shown in purchasing power parity (ppp), SSP data from the SSP database (IIASA, 2013).Policy intervention figureFile:143x img13.png
Policy intervention figure Ecosystem servicesEcosystem servicesAssessment of sufficient supply of ecosystem services under the baseline and sustainability scenariosWhile the supply of ecosystem services is decreasing under a baseline scenario, much of this decline could be avoided under a sustainability scenario (all based on PBL, 2012).Policy intervention figureFile:116g img13.png
Policy intervention figure EmissionsEmissionsGlobal emission of NOx and SO2 per sector under baseline and policy scenariosClimate policy has important co-benefits for air pollution.Policy intervention figureFile:067x img13.png
Policy intervention figure Energy conversionEnergy conversionGlobal capacity of the power sectorThe large share of conventional coal power in the baseline is replaced by fossil power with CCS and renewable capacity in the sustainability scenarios.Policy intervention figureFile:032x img13.png
Policy intervention figure Energy demandEnergy demandGlobal primary energy use under baseline and policy scenariosThe ‘envisaged policies’ scenario includes currently planned policies, the ‘global resource efficiency’ scenario assumes ambitious energy efficiency policies, and the ‘global resource efficiency and climate policy’ scenario additionally assumes policies to meet the 2 °C target. Total primary energy use could be significantly reduced by policies on energy efficiency, whereas additional climate policy would mostly affect the type of resources used. (Van den Berg et al., 2011b)Policy intervention figureFile:024x img13.PNG
Policy intervention figure Energy supplyEnergy supplyGlobal primary energy supplyPolicy intervention figureFile:043x img13.png
Policy intervention figure Flood risksFlood risksFlood related damage in BangladeshFuture expected annual damage due to flooding depends on future climate change, but much even more on future GDP and population distribution.Policy intervention figureFile:155x img13.png
Policy intervention figure Forest managementForest managementPrevented global MSA (Mean Species Abundance) loss compared to the baseline scenario, 2000 - 2050Improved forest management can contribute to reducing biodiversity loss (measured in MSA, see Component Terrestrial biodiversity ).Policy intervention figureFile:056x img13.png
Policy intervention figure Human developmentHuman developmentGlobal under-five mortality rate under baseline and sustainability scenariosCompared to the baseline, the sustainability scenarios ‘Global Technology’ and ‘Challenge +’ (PBL, 2012) will reduce child mortality, but the MDG target set for 2015 would still only be met after 2030.Policy intervention figureFile:120g img13.png
Policy intervention figure Land and biodiversity policiesLand and biodiversity policiesChange in global biodiversity per option, compared to baseline scenarioResults of several interventions in declining biodiversity loss (PBL, 2010)Policy intervention figureFile:137x img13.png
Policy intervention figure Land and biodiversity policies IILand and biodiversity policiesGlobal biodiversity under baseline and sustainability scenarios to prevent biodiversity lossBiodiversity is projected to decline further in the baseline scenario (left). Various measures in the demand system, the production system and in land-use regulation contribute to reducing biodiversity loss in the sustainability scenarios (right).Policy intervention figureFile:140x img13.png
Policy intervention figure Land cover and land useAgriculture and land useGlobal food production and land use under the baseline scenarioChanges in agricultural production and land usePolicy intervention figureFile:011x img13.png
Policy intervention figure Land degradationLand degradationChangein main soil properties and maize yields, from undisturbed state to conditions in 2005As a result of soil degradation and changes in soil properties, yields are up to 30 % lower than they would have been under pristine conditions, in some parts of the world.Policy intervention figureFile:111x img13.png
Policy intervention figure Land-use allocationLand-use allocationCarbon emissions and land use under restricted land supply, compared to the baseline scenario, 2020Impact of land-use change, protection and restoration policies on ecosystem functions (van Esch et al., 2021)Policy intervention figureFile:Capture2.PNG
Policy intervention figure Livestock systemsLivestock systemsGlobal grassland area under baseline and sustainability scenarioFuture trends in grassland areas strongly depend on grassland management and productivity (PBL, 2012).Policy intervention figureFile:063g img13.png
Policy intervention figure NutrientsNutrientsGlobal soil nitrogen budget under a number of policy interventions, 2050Several policy interventions can lead to a reduction in the global soil nitrogen budget compared to a baseline scenario (Bouwman et al., 2013c).Policy intervention figureFile:146g img13.png
Policy intervention figure Terrestrial biodiversityTerrestrial biodiversityPrevented global MSA (Mean Species Abundance) loss compared to baseline scenario, 2000 - 2050Several policy interventions in land-use regulation, production and demand systems could prevent some of the biodiversity loss projected in the baseline. The single largest effects can be expected from closing the yield gap, and from dietary changes.Policy intervention figureFile:100g img13.png
Policy intervention figure WaterWaterContribution of water sources to meet irrigation water demandThree of the five water basins on the Indian subcontinent strongly rely on groundwater resources to meet irrigation water demand. Doubling the capacity of large dams can increase the amount of irrigation water available in some basins. In all basins, improved irrigation efficiency leads to a significant reduction in water required for irrigation.Policy intervention figureFile:085x img13.png
Policy intervention figure Water/Policy issuesGlobal impact EFR policy on SSP2 scenarioImpact of prioritizing environmental flows for the SSP2 scenario on (a) the percentage of river length per basin that meets the EFR targets, (b) food production expressed as a change in yield due to lower water availability and (c) the change in nr of people at severe risk of water shortage for electricity, industries and households (living in areas where the projected consumption is less than 50% of projected demand). The results are the yearly averages for 2045–2054. (de Vos et al., 2021)Other type of figureFile:Impacts efr 300.png
Region classification mapA map of the region classification used in IMAGE frameworkThe IMAGE framework region classification.Other type of figureFile:005k img13.png
USS all regionsDimension example All regions selectedDimension example: all regions selectedOther type of figureFile:USSRegionDimAll.png
USS compare scenariosCompare scenarios in a graphCompare scenarios in a graphOther type of figureFile:USSCompareScenarios.png
USS edit menuThe edit menu-options of USSEdit menu-options of USSOther type of figureFile:USSEditMenu.png
USS landcover maplandcover mapLandcover map from USSOther type of figureFile:USSLandcoverMap.png
USS load scenarioSelect and load scenariosSelect and load scenariosOther type of figureFile:USSLoadScenario.png
USS region selectionRegion selection with coupled dimensionRegion selection with coupled dimensionOther type of figureFile:USSSelectedRegions.png
USS select scenario dimensionSelect scenario dimension in dimension dialogSelect scenario in dimension dimension dialogOther type of figureFile:USSSelectScenarioDim.png
USS zoomed out figurezoomed out example from USSAn USS graph zoomed outOther type of figureFile:USSZoomedOut.png
USS-OverviewDownloadUSS overviewUSS overviewOther type of figureFile:Rio-2050-baseline.PNG


 FrameworkElementType
Agricultural economypressure component
Air pollution and energy policiesresponse component
Aquatic biodiversityimpact component
Atmospheric composition and climatestate component
Carbon cycle and natural vegetationstate component
Climate policyresponse component
Crops and grassstate component
Driversdriver component
Ecosystem servicesimpact component
Emissionsinteraction component
Energy conversionpressure component
Energy demandpressure component
Energy supplypressure component
Flood risksimpact component
Forest managementpressure component
Human developmentimpact component
Land and biodiversity policiesresponse component
Land cover and land useinteraction component
Land degradationimpact component
Land-use allocationpressure component
Livestock systems
Nutrientsstate component
Terrestrial biodiversityimpact component
Waterstate component